Gold is struggling to reclaim 5,000 despite ongoing geopolitical risks—so what’s holding it back?
Macro Narrative:
The market is shifting focus back to monetary policy. Even with Middle East tensions, rising yields and a firm USD are capping gold’s upside. The narrative is no longer “fear = buy gold,” but “rates = pressure.”
News Context:
Markets are positioning ahead of the FOMC (Mar 18)
Fed expected to hold rates but maintain a hawkish tone
USD remains supported while Treasury yields stay elevated
→ This combination is limiting bullish momentum in gold
IF–THEN News Scenarios:
If Fed stays hawkish → gold may extend lower as real yields rise
If Fed signals easing ahead → gold could reclaim upside momentum
Technical Overview (H1):
Price is trading below key Fibonacci levels and failing to hold above 5,000.
Lower highs structure suggests sellers are still in control, with liquidity building below recent lows.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 5,000 – 5,042
Support 1: 4,968
Support 2: 4,936
Breakdown zone: below 4,970 → opens further downside
Market Debate:
Is gold consolidating before the Fed—or already pricing in a bearish outcome?
Macro Narrative:
The market is shifting focus back to monetary policy. Even with Middle East tensions, rising yields and a firm USD are capping gold’s upside. The narrative is no longer “fear = buy gold,” but “rates = pressure.”
News Context:
Markets are positioning ahead of the FOMC (Mar 18)
Fed expected to hold rates but maintain a hawkish tone
USD remains supported while Treasury yields stay elevated
→ This combination is limiting bullish momentum in gold
IF–THEN News Scenarios:
If Fed stays hawkish → gold may extend lower as real yields rise
If Fed signals easing ahead → gold could reclaim upside momentum
Technical Overview (H1):
Price is trading below key Fibonacci levels and failing to hold above 5,000.
Lower highs structure suggests sellers are still in control, with liquidity building below recent lows.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 5,000 – 5,042
Support 1: 4,968
Support 2: 4,936
Breakdown zone: below 4,970 → opens further downside
Market Debate:
Is gold consolidating before the Fed—or already pricing in a bearish outcome?
การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
The PPI data released tonight is expected to support gold prices. It seems the current downward correction is just the prelude to a strong rally tonight, gold has already +374 pips anyway.
บันทึก
+558 PIP- ATTENTION TO PPI NEWS TONIGHT
GOOD LUCK TRADER!
ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร
+1101 PIP AND NOTE THE FOLLOWING REACTION ZONES 4885-78-63-47
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Daily market views & trading signals 💋
Free Channel 👉 Link in Bio
Clear setups & risk management ✨
Trade together with SeSeLinaa.Gold
👉 Link in Bio
Free Channel 👉 Link in Bio
Clear setups & risk management ✨
Trade together with SeSeLinaa.Gold
👉 Link in Bio
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน