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(XAU/USD) – Gold to reach $4,000/oz: Where is the best buy point

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1. Price Structure & Main Trend
On the H1 timeframe, gold still maintains a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
After the Break of Structure (BoS), price retraced to test the Buy Zone around 3,862 and bounced back up.
Currently, price is trading above both EMA34 and EMA89, confirming that the uptrend remains dominant.

2. Key Zones

Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Short-term support, aligned with the previous BoS. If price holds above this zone, the bullish scenario is strengthened.

Order Block (OB) 1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support zone if the Buy Zone is broken.

Order Block (OB) 2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, activated only in case of a strong correction.

Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): around 3,912. A potential short-term resistance where profit-taking may occur.

Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breaking above this area may lead gold to a new all-time high.

3. Trading Scenarios

Bullish (Main Scenario):
Look to buy at 3,862 – 3,865 if price retests.
SL: Below 3,850 (under Buy Zone and EMA89).
TP1: 3,912 (Sell Scalping Zone).
TP2: 3,933 – 3,935 (new ATH).

Bearish (Defensive Scenario):
If price breaks below Buy Zone and closes under 3,860, it may test OB 3,806 – 3,810.
In a worse case, if OB1 is also lost, short-term bullish momentum could weaken, pushing gold to OB 3,763 – 3,770.

4. Summary
Gold on H1 maintains strong bullish momentum after breaking structure. The optimal plan is to prioritize buying at key support, manage risk tightly, and gradually take profit at resistance zones. If price surpasses 3,933, gold may enter a new all-time high phase.
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