ทองคำ / ดอลลาร์สหรัฐ
Long
ที่อัปเดต:

BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN

403
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN

Gold has once again failed to sustain above the 4,100 level, and this rejection is not something to ignore.

This is the fourth time this week that XAUUSD has attempted to break and hold above 4,100, but every single time, acceptance has been rejected. Even after the FOMC volatility, gold is still struggling to maintain higher value, while the US dollar pauses its decline and geopolitical tensions re-emerge following renewed US strikes on Iran.

The key takeaway is simple: gold needs a daily close above 4,100, with RSI holding above 50, to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. Until that happens, every move into higher value remains a potential sell opportunity.

Technical structure

On the H1 timeframe, gold delivered a strong rebound from the lower trendline support, broke above the descending structure, but once again failed to hold above the 4,100 region.

Price is now rotating back toward the Buy zone VAL / FVG around 4,038. This is the most important area on the chart right now. If buyers step in and defend this zone, gold still has room to rotate back toward the upper value area.

Above price, the main resistance remains the Sell zone POC at 4,125. This is the key supply area. If price reaches this level and rejects again, sellers are likely to regain full control of the structure.

Important zones

Buy zone VAL / FVG: 4,038
This is the main buy reaction zone on the current pullback.

Current reaction area: 4,050 – 4,055
Short-term equilibrium after rejection from 4,100.

Sell zone POC: 4,125
Major resistance and high-probability sell reaction zone.

Key invalidation for bearish pressure: Daily close above 4,100
Without acceptance above this level, downside pressure remains intact.

Trading scenario

Buy reaction from Buy zone VAL / FVG 4,038

Entry:
Wait for price to reach 4,038 and only consider longs if there is a clear bullish rejection signal.

Stop Loss:
Below the Buy zone VAL / FVG or below the most recent sweep low.

Take Profit:
TP1: 4,070
TP2: 4,100
TP3: 4,125 (only if momentum and acceptance return strongly)

This is a patience setup. The idea is not to chase price after rejection, but to wait for a clean reaction from a high-probability Volume Profile support zone.

Final view

Gold is still not in a confirmed bullish phase.

Repeated rejections above 4,100 show that buyers are not yet strong enough to establish higher value acceptance. However, the reaction from the lower trendline also confirms that buyers are still active and defending key demand zones.

At this stage, the market is balanced but fragile.

The plan is straightforward: wait for 4,038.

If 4,038 holds, gold can rotate back toward 4,100 and potentially 4,125.
If 4,038 fails, the structure weakens further and sellers may drive price back into lower value territory.

This is a decision point in the market.

Will buyers defend 4,038 once again, or will another rejection from 4,100 finally trigger a deeper breakdown?
การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
สแนปชอต

คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ

ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน