🔍 Market Structure (SMC)
• The previous major trend was bullish, but currently, the price is adjusting within a downtrend channel
• The nearest peak is a Weak High → short-term selling pressure still exists
• Within the downtrend channel, the price has created a small BOS, indicating sellers are controlling the short-term pace
• The bullish structure has not been completely broken, so the current decline is considered a pullback / liquidity redistribution
🔴 Reaction zone above (short-term SELL)
• OB + Fibo retracement: 4,454 – 4,466
• Confluence:
Order Block bearish
Fibo 0.5–0.618 of the decline
Upper trendline of the downtrend channel
👉 Only SELL for short-term reactions, not SELL according to the major trend.
🟢 Key BUY zone (Main Demand)
• Bullish OB: 4,405 – 4,395
• This is a zone:
Clearly defined previous Demand
Bottom of the downtrend channel
Area prone to liquidity sweep + strong reaction
👉 Prioritize BUY when the price sweeps down to this zone and holds the bottom.
🎯 Expectations & Targets
• TP1: 4,440
• TP2: 4,466
• TP3 (if breaking the channel): return to the above Weak High zone
❌ Invalidation
• Price closes M30 below 4,395
→ Demand fails, bullish structure breaks → stop BUY scenario
📌 Quick Summary
• Short-term: Sideway – decline within the channel
• Main strategy: BUY low – SELL reaction
• Do not FOMO in the middle, wait for the price to hit the zone
• The previous major trend was bullish, but currently, the price is adjusting within a downtrend channel
• The nearest peak is a Weak High → short-term selling pressure still exists
• Within the downtrend channel, the price has created a small BOS, indicating sellers are controlling the short-term pace
• The bullish structure has not been completely broken, so the current decline is considered a pullback / liquidity redistribution
🔴 Reaction zone above (short-term SELL)
• OB + Fibo retracement: 4,454 – 4,466
• Confluence:
Order Block bearish
Fibo 0.5–0.618 of the decline
Upper trendline of the downtrend channel
👉 Only SELL for short-term reactions, not SELL according to the major trend.
🟢 Key BUY zone (Main Demand)
• Bullish OB: 4,405 – 4,395
• This is a zone:
Clearly defined previous Demand
Bottom of the downtrend channel
Area prone to liquidity sweep + strong reaction
👉 Prioritize BUY when the price sweeps down to this zone and holds the bottom.
🎯 Expectations & Targets
• TP1: 4,440
• TP2: 4,466
• TP3 (if breaking the channel): return to the above Weak High zone
❌ Invalidation
• Price closes M30 below 4,395
→ Demand fails, bullish structure breaks → stop BUY scenario
📌 Quick Summary
• Short-term: Sideway – decline within the channel
• Main strategy: BUY low – SELL reaction
• Do not FOMO in the middle, wait for the price to hit the zone
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ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน