SOLANA (SOLUSD): Time to Recover
Solana is positioned to start recovering after a confirmed
bullish Change of Character CHoCH on a daily time frame.
I expect a price rise to 75.2 level.
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Candlestick Analysis
GOLD (XAUUSD): Gap Trade
I think that Gold will likely drop to at least partially fill
a gap up opening.
As a confirmation, I see a double top pattern formation on an hourly time frame
and a strong imbalance bearish candle.
Goal - 4248
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06/14/2026 Asian Session NQ TradeNASDAQ Futures Trade Breakdown | NQ
Currently short on NQ as price trades into a higher-timeframe supply / mitigation zone.
Price has been bullish short-term after reacting from the weekly imbalance area, but it is now approaching a key resistance area around 30,300–30,600. This is where I’m watching for a potential shift from bullish continuation into seller reaction.
My short entry is active around the current supply zone, with invalidation above 30,596.50.
BTCUSDT post-sweep reclaim: targeting $68,000The Macro Picture 🗺️
The bearish continuation thesis from June 9 has shifted into structural suspension — the $59,000 sweep low held, price reclaimed the $60,000 macro floor without breaking it twice, and a bullish RSI divergence has now printed against the capitulation low. What looked like a textbook breakdown into open air is showing the structural signature of a sweep-and-reclaim instead, where the deepest reading since February's flush marked exhaustion rather than continuation. The recovery leg now faces its first real test at the $66,000–$68,000 supply zone — the broken range floor that desperately needs to be reclaimed before any structural reset narrative can take hold.
The Setup ⚙️
The Reclaim: The $60,000 macro floor was lost on June 6 but reclaimed within three sessions, neutralizing the breakdown signal — clean structural sweeps usually print one violation, not multiple, and the lack of follow-through below the floor reads as over-leveraged shorts getting trapped above the line.
The Divergence: RSI printed its lowest reading since the February capitulation while bouncing off the $59,000 wick — the classic bullish divergence signature that historically marks structural exhaustion at macro floors rather than continuation triggers.
The Decision Pocket: The $66,000–$68,000 supply zone is now the binary trigger on the chart. A clean reclaim flips the broken range floor back into support and reopens the structural path higher; a clean rejection sends price back toward the swept low and re-activates the June 9 thesis.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $68,000 — the broken range floor where prior demand from April's higher-low sequence now sits stacked as overhead supply, and the level that bears must defend to keep the larger downtrend intact. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close back below $59,000 would invalidate this bullish reclaim thesis and re-open the path toward $55,000 from the prior bearish read.
LTCUSD at macro floor: reclaim attempt off capitulation lowThe Macro Picture 🗺️
Two weeks since the last read on LTCUSD, and the chart has resolved decisively to the downside — the $50 floor broke with conviction, the $44 macro reaction line got swept, and price flushed all the way to a capitulation low near $41 before buyers stepped in. The prior $52–$60 range is now overhead supply, and the structure has reset to a lower regime. Sitting near $44, the chart is now tracking the response to that macro sweep — a textbook setup where the question is whether the flush marks a structural low or just a pause before deeper continuation.
The Setup ⚙️
The Sweep: The dip to $41 served as a macro liquidity hunt — it cleared every late short and panic seller parked beneath the $44 reaction line, and RSI bottomed in deeply oversold territory near 20. That kind of momentum exhaustion at a sweep low has historically been the signature of structural turning points rather than fresh breakdown legs.
The Reaction: Bulls absorbed the flush and dragged price back to $44 — a clean recovery off the capitulation pocket. RSI has curled back up through 35 and is climbing through its moving average, confirming that downside momentum has handed near-term control back to buyers.
The Reclaim Zone: The $48 local resistance is the first decision point. A reclaim there opens the path back toward the prior $50–$52 break level, where the heaviest overhead supply sits and the previous range floor begins to act as the new ceiling.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $48 — the first overhead supply pocket and the natural destination for a post-capitulation relief leg. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $42 would invalidate this reversal thesis and reopen the path toward the deeper $36–$38 demand zone.
ARB: bullish reclaim toward $0.10500The Macro Picture 🗺️
ARB remains locked inside the broad macro range beneath the $0.15000 ceiling that capped price in early May, but the June leg redrew the floor. The obvious low gave way and price was driven into a fresh liquidity pocket, bottoming at $0.07350 — a deeper sweep than the structure had shown all year, and the kind of flush that clears out over-leveraged longs before the range resolves. Daily RSI printed its most stretched reading since the February capitulation, and price has since lifted off that low rather than rolling over.
The Setup ⚙️
The Sweep: The drop to $0.07350 wicked below every prior support and snapped back inside the range — textbook stop-run behavior at the lower boundary, not a clean structural breakdown.
The Reaction: Momentum has turned up off oversold while price holds the recovery; the same RSI condition marked the base of the April rally, not the middle of a decline.
The Reclaim: The first real test is the $0.09500 Local High — the level that capped the breakdown candle. A daily close back above it flips the recent supply into support and confirms the bulls are defending the reclaimed floor.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.10500 — the Macro Decision Zone where the prior break level and trapped breakout sellers converge, making it the natural magnet for the relief leg once $0.09500 is reclaimed. Invalidation: a clean 1D close back below $0.07350 would invalidate this bullish thesis and reopen the path of least resistance into the lower pocket.
NVDAUSDT: local squeeze with $225 destinationThe Macro Picture 🗺️
NVDAUSDT carved its structural peak at $241 in mid-May and has spent the weeks since in a controlled descent of lower highs — $241, then $225, then $215. But the pullback has refused to break: the $202 prior break level, the floor that launched May's rally, has now been defended twice on the retest. The result is a Local Squeeze high in the macro range, where a descending lid of supply compresses against a firm horizontal floor — a structure that resolves with force once one side gives.
The Setup ⚙️
The Floor: The $200–$202 prior break level has held two distinct tests this month, each bounce confirming that buyers are defending the level that launched the macro uptrend. This is the line that separates a healthy pullback from a structural breakdown, and so far the bulls are holding it.
The Lid: The descending sequence of lower highs has parked immediate supply at $215, with the $225 local high stacked above it. Each rejection has come on fading momentum rather than impulsive selling — the signature of a market coiling rather than trending, exactly what keeps RSI pinned flat at its mid-line.
The Trigger: A reclaim of $215 on a 1D close is the confirmation the squeeze resolves upward, clearing the descending lid and exposing the buy stops layered above the $225 local high.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $225 — the local high and upper edge of the squeeze, a high-confluence zone where the next leg of the macro trend either confirms or stalls. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $202 would invalidate this bullish thesis, flip the prior break level back to resistance, and reopen the path toward the $164 macro floor.
TSLA local squeeze with $427 destinationThe Macro Picture 🗺️
The June 10 bearish thesis delivered cleanly into the $379 local support before buyers stepped in exactly where the prior structural read forecast a reaction. That bounce now lifts price back into the $400–$415 zone — the same band that previously rejected every bounce attempt during the early-June flush. RSI has reclaimed the 50 mid-line after a sub-40 oversold reset, restoring momentum to neutral footing while the broader corrective structure from the $455 macro ceiling remains intact. The local squeeze between the $379 support shelf and the $427 failed-reclaim ceiling now defines the next tactical leg.
The Setup ⚙️
The Bounce: The $379 reaction wasn't accidental — buyers defended this level on the first test exactly as a prior structural shelf demands, sweeping the sell stops parked beneath it before staging the reversal candle. RSI confirmed the shift by curling away from oversold without printing a fresh lower low.
The Squeeze: Price now compresses between the $379 floor and the $427 failed-reclaim ceiling — a structural pocket where bulls have momentum on their side but bears still defend the upper boundary. This is the kind of range that resolves with a directional break rather than dissolves quietly, and the recent candle strength suggests the next test belongs to the upside.
The Trigger: A sustained daily close above $415 confirms the reclaim of the prior support-flip zone and opens clean air toward the $427 ceiling. This is the level where the relief rally either presses through or stalls — bears will defend it aggressively, bulls need follow-through.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $427 — the failed-reclaim ceiling that capped every early-June bounce, now positioned as the natural destination for this counter-trend leg. A clean break of $427 reopens the path toward the $445 double top right shoulder; rejection there flips the structural read back to bearish and puts the $345 macro floor back in play. Invalidation: a sustained daily close back below $390 would invalidate this bullish reaction thesis and reactivate the corrective leg toward the $379 retest and below.
BLUAIUSDT structural reset: targeting $0.01700 reclaimThe Macro Picture 🗺️
BLUAI has completed a full structural round trip in ten sessions. The June 6 macro ceiling breakout — which spiked to $0.02300 and printed a body close near $0.01800 — invalidated within days as price failed to hold above $0.01700, rolled over, and flushed all the way back to the $0.0090 liquidity sweep low for a clean retest from above. Both sides of the order book have now been swept inside a single arc: longs trapped on the breakout, shorts trapped on the flush. Price has since recovered straight back to the $0.01300 inflection zone, the same level that has acted as a magnet four times this cycle. This is the textbook structural reset: every nearby liquidity pocket is cleared, momentum is flat, and the market sits at equilibrium waiting for the next dominant flow to declare itself.
The Setup ⚙️
The Trap: The $0.02300 spike high and $0.01800 body close mark the failed-breakout supply zone overhead — these are the levels where the most recent batch of breakout buyers got trapped, and the market needs to absorb that supply before any new bullish leg can develop.
The Sweep: The mid-June flush into $0.0090 retested the late-May liquidity pocket from above and produced an immediate vertical recovery — that level is now structural demand validated twice, with the rally back to $0.01300 confirming buyers were waiting at that depth.
The Reset: Price has returned to the $0.01300 inflection with RSI near 50 and the RSI MA flat — both the bullish and bearish momentum extremes have been wrung out of the market, leaving a clean base from which the next directional flow can build.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.01700 — the broken macro ceiling that failed as support during the post-breakout rollover and now sits as the most natural overhead magnet for a reclaim attempt. Invalidation: a clean 1D close back below $0.01100 would invalidate this reset thesis and re-arm the bearish path toward a deeper macro test of the $0.00500 floor.
DOGE: liquidity sweep before bullish moveThe Macro Picture 🗺️
DOGE just executed one of the cleanest liquidity sweeps of the cycle — a full retrace from May's $0.118 high all the way into the $0.080 macro floor, the same pocket bears defended back in February. The structural reset cleared out the late longs stacked through April and May, dragged RSI into the sub-20 capitulation print, and tagged the exact liquidity that bulls needed to flush before another rotation higher could begin. The bounce off the floor is already in motion, and price is now pressing against the first decision zone with momentum quietly curling back from oversold.
The Setup ⚙️
The Sweep: The June flush into $0.080 mirrored February's wick almost tick for tick — a textbook double tag of the macro floor with the second sweep producing the deepest RSI print of the cycle, clearing every over-leveraged long that hadn't already capitulated.
The Decision Zone: Price is now coiling at $0.090, the structural pivot that separates a real recovery from another roll back into the floor. Bulls are defending here while RSI reclaims its lower band — the kind of base that often precedes the more durable move.
The Trigger: A clean daily close back above $0.090 opens the path of least resistance toward the prior decision zone, where May's distribution candles left behind unfilled overhead supply that desperately needs to be tested.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.105 — a sustained reclaim of $0.090 hands the chart back to bulls and trips the liquidity stacked above the late-May breakdown candle. Invalidation: a sustained 2D close below $0.080 would invalidate this bullish thesis and open a fresh leg into the $0.075 liquidity pocket below the floor.
INJ post-sweep reclaim: targeting $6.00 retestThe Macro Picture 🗺️
The post-parabolic unwind has reached the same $5.00 critical floor that launched the entire May rally — and bulls have defended it with the kind of structural conviction that frequently marks local bottoms. The wick to $4.80 on June 10–11 swept liquidity below the round-number floor and trapped late shorts who positioned for the $4.50 magnet, but the daily close reclaimed $5.00 cleanly, and price has held inside the $5.00–$5.50 compression zone ever since. RSI has stabilized near 45 after rolling out of the bearish acceleration regime, neither confirming a full reversal nor extending the downside impulse. This is the structural pivot the post-parabolic correction needs — a defended floor, an absorbed liquidity sweep, and the energy to attempt a reclaim of the broken supply shelf above.
The Setup ⚙️
The Sweep: The $4.80 wick on June 10–11 cleared out over-leveraged shorts parked beneath the $5.00 psychological floor, completing the liquidity hunt that the parabolic unwind required and resetting the funding profile in the bulls' favor.
The Floor Defense: The $5.00 round number, the May rally launchpad, and the post-breakout structural origin all stack at the same level — bulls have now defended this high-confluence pocket on consecutive daily closes, signaling that buyers desperately want to hold this band.
The Trigger: A sustained daily close above $5.50 would confirm the post-sweep reclaim and reactivate the path of least resistance toward $6.00, where the broken macro flip now sits as the first major overhead supply test.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $6.00 — once $5.50 gives way to the upside, the white projection points through the dead-air pocket toward the prior macro flip zone where structural sellers will reload. Invalidation: a clean daily close below $4.80 would invalidate this bullish reclaim and re-activate the path toward the $4.50 liquidity magnet.
JUPUSDT at macro floor: bullish reversal toward $0.200The Macro Picture 🗺️
The June 3 continuation thesis broke down through every structural level it relied on — $0.200 lost, $0.165 lost, and price kept selling until it wicked into the $0.140 macro floor on the June 10–11 flush. That sweep is the third test of the floor since January and the second clean defense, with a wide-range wick rejection launching the current reversal off ~$0.144. The character has shifted entirely: this is no longer a continuation read, it is a structural reversal off the same macro floor that has anchored the entire 2026 base.
The Setup ⚙️
The Sweep: Price punctured $0.140 by a hair before snapping back inside the prior range, clearing out the over-leveraged shorts that piled in on the break of the $0.165 floor. The sweep candle is wide-range and decisive — the kind of print that tends to mark structural lows rather than continuation pauses.
The Reaction: RSI lifted from the mid-30s without printing oversold capitulation, and has begun curling back toward the 50 midline. Momentum reset is in progress, but it is slow and accumulative — not the spike-and-fade pattern that signals a one-and-done relief bounce.
The Reclaim Path: The overhead structure is stacked. Trapped longs from the May rally sit between $0.180 and $0.200, with the lost pivot at $0.200 marking the first level that needs to be reclaimed before the bearish character can fully invert.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.200 — the broken pivot from the June 3 thesis, now the natural magnet on the reclaim path. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $0.140 would invalidate this reversal thesis, signal that the macro floor has finally given way, and open the path toward unmapped territory.
BCHUSDT at macro floor: accumulation toward $280 reclaimThe Macro Picture 🗺️
The $200 macro floor that was framed five sessions ago has now passed its first real defense test. Instead of extending into the $160 deeper-extension territory, price has carved a tight consolidation between $200 and $215 — the textbook signature of a market transitioning from capitulation into accumulation. The descending leg from $440 has lost its velocity, RSI has curled up from its sub-20 extreme back through 25, and every session that closes above $200 strengthens the floor as confirmed demand rather than transit. This is the build-up phase that precedes the next structural move, and the path of least resistance is shifting upward by default the longer the floor holds.
The Setup ⚙️
The Macro Floor: $200 is the confirmed demand zone that bulls have now defended across multiple sessions of testing. Every wick into the $195–$200 band gets absorbed rather than extended, validating this as the high-confluence floor where the descending cycle resolves rather than continues lower.
The Squeeze: The $200–$215 range is the compression chamber where bulls and bears are trading liquidity inside the macro floor. Tight range plus exhausted RSI creates the asymmetric setup where a break of the $215 range top releases the stored energy as directional momentum — the longer the squeeze persists, the cleaner the eventual breakout.
The Reaction: RSI has lifted from sub-20 back through 25 while price has refused to extend lower — the bullish divergence is now confirmed structurally. This is the exact exhaustion signature where bearish momentum unwinds even before price breaks higher, and it's the strongest tell that the next leg is asymmetric to the upside.
The Roadmap: Primary target on a confirmed $215 break sits at $280 — the broken sweep low and first overhead supply test where reclaim sellers will defend their positioning. Beyond that, the $300 broken floor becomes the structural ceiling for any extended reversal. Invalidation: a sustained daily close below $195 would invalidate this base-building thesis and reopen the path toward the $160 deeper-extension level.
How to Trade Liquidity Grab, Order Block and Imbalance (SMC)
I will teach you how to trade liquidity grab, a trap, inducement, order block and imbalance.
I will share with you my Smart Money Concept strategy for trading forex gold.
We will study a real SMC trading setup that I took on a live stream with my students.
Trend Analysis With Structure Mapping
The first step in our trading strategy will be the analysis of a market trend on a daily time frame with structure mapping.
Analyzing GBPNZD on a daily time frame, we can see that the conditions for a bullish trend are met.
The second step will be to find liquidity - supply and demand zones on a daily time frame.
According to our rules, here are 3 liquidity zones that I spotted on GBPNZD. We see 2 demand zones and 1 supply zone.
The third step will be to wait for a test of a liquidity zone.
And on that step, we should remember an important rule:
we will wait only for a test of a liquidity zone that ALIGN with the market trend.
It means that we will wait for a test of a demand zone in a bullish trend.
We will wait for a test of a supply zone in a bearish trend.
The only demand zones that meets these criteria on GBPNZD is Demand Zone 1.
It aligns with a bullish trend.
We don't consider Demand Zone 2, because a bearish violation of a Demand Zone 1 will be a Change of Character and a violation of a bearish trend.
And here is how a test of a liquidity zone should look like. The price should simply reach that.
After we identify a test of a significant liquidity zone that aligns with a market trend, we will start analyzing lower time frames.
We will look for a liquidity grab, order block and imbalance on 4H and 1H time frames.
Here is a liquidity grab that is confirmed by a bullish imbalance.
We see a false violation of a liquidity zone, followed by a high momentum bullish candle.
It will be our strong bullish signal.
In order to identify the entry point, the next step will be to identify the order block.
According to our rules, here is the order block zone on a 4H time frame.
Our entry level will be the level of the upper boundary of the order block zone.
Here is such a level on GBPNZD.
A buy limit order should be set on that level.
Safe stop loss should be below the lowest low of a bearish movement.
To safely calculate a stop loss in pips for the trade, simply take 0.5 ATR - Average True Range.
For Average True Range indicator, take the default settings - 14 length.
Here is a safe stop loss level on GBPNZD. ATR is 55 pips. Our stop loss for the trade is 28 pips.
Take profit for the trade will be based on the closes 4H liquidity - supply zone.
That is the closest supply zone that I spotted on GBPNZD on a 4H time frame.
Your target level should be a couple of pips below a supply zone.
That is a perfect target level.
Look how perfectly the market reached the target!
As you can see, that trading strategy is quite complex and combines different important elements. But what I like about this SMC trading strategy is that it truly makes sense.
The intentions of Smart Money are crystal clear here and the trade execution rules are straightforward.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NOTUSDT: bullish spike toward $0.000600The Macro Picture 🗺️
Zoomed out to the full descent from the $0.0020 launch, NOT has spent eight months grinding into a macro base, with the floor at $0.000340 holding every test since February — a structural reset that demands the kind of deep, patient accumulation that precedes a real reversal. The early-June flush tagged that macro support once more, found no sellers beneath it, and reversed hard. Price now sits mid-impulse, pressing back up through the range with the $0.000340 floor freshly defended and momentum turning.
The Setup ⚙️
The Floor: The price box at $0.000340 marks the macro floor — tested in February, March, April and again in early June, and held on every occasion. The latest sweep beneath it triggered sell stops, cleared out over-leveraged shorts, and snapped straight back inside the range: a liquidity hunt, not a breakdown.
The Reaction: The bounce off the floor printed a sharp impulse leg rather than a hesitant drift, and RSI has snapped from the high-30s back toward 62 without yet reaching overbought — the path of least resistance now points up toward the unfinished business overhead.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.000600 — the Local High and first real overhead supply, where the May rejection left sellers waiting. The roadmap points there so long as the floor keeps holding. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close back below $0.000340 would invalidate this bullish thesis and confirm the macro floor has finally given way.
TAOUSDT: bullish spike toward $260 mid-shelfThe Macro Picture 🗺️
TAO has now completed the full liquidity cycle through its six-month structure between the $150 macro floor and the $380 macro ceiling — the June flush below $200 stripped the final cohort of late shorts and breakdown chasers, and price has reversed with an aggressive impulse candle that punched directly from the $215 base into the lower threshold of the broken upper shelf. The bullish reversal thesis from the prior structural read has been confirmed in price, with RSI snapping back from sub-25 oversold to a clean cross above the moving average — the cleanest momentum shift since the February macro low. The macro lens now favors continuation through the broken shelf toward the $325 prior local high.
The Setup ⚙️
The Reclaim: Today's impulse candle reclaimed the entire $215–$240 base zone in a single bar and is pressing directly into $245 — the lower threshold of the shelf that bears stripped through May and early June. Bulls have taken back the initiative with structural conviction, and the path of least resistance now points higher.
The Reaction: The $260 mid-shelf marks the first major structural test — this level acted as both the equilibrium pivot through April and the rejection point of the mid-May lower high. How price reacts on the first tag will define whether the move extends in one impulse or builds a base before continuation.
The Magnet: Above $260, the $325 prior local high sits as the natural upside magnet — the last major rejection inside the broader Broadening Formation and the level that defines the upper boundary of the entire six-month range. A reclaim of $260 opens that path directly.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $260 — the mid-shelf reclaim that confirms the bullish rotation extends beyond the initial impulse. Invalidation: a clean 1D close back below $215 would invalidate this bullish thesis and reopen the path toward the $185 sweep low and the $150 macro floor below.
SUIUSDT: bearish continuation toward $0.60The Macro Picture 🗺️
SUI's 4-month accumulation base between $0.78 and $1.00 collapsed in late May, with the macro floor giving way and price flushing into a capitulation low at $0.66 — a textbook structural reset that cleared out the entire range and rewrote the broader trend in two weeks. The $1.00 decision zone now sits as a distant ceiling, while $0.85 has flipped into upper supply that bears will defend aggressively. Price is mean-reverting from the deeply oversold June print with RSI climbing off 22 back toward 35.
The Setup ⚙️
The Broken Decision Zone: The $1.00 line that capped the entire February–May range is now structural resistance — the path back to it requires chewing through multiple layers of overhead supply that did not exist a month ago.
The Upper Supply: The $0.85 line marks the underside of the broken base and the first meaningful ceiling any bounce will face. Bulls desperately need to reclaim it to even attempt a serious recovery.
The Reaction: The June capitulation wick into $0.66 swept liquidity sitting under the prior macro floor and produced the relief bounce currently in play. RSI mean-reversion from deep oversold is consistent with corrective lift, not a trend reversal.
The Trigger: A failed reclaim attempt at $0.85 followed by a clean 1D close below $0.66 confirms the structural low has broken and opens the path of least resistance to the next liquidity pocket beneath.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.60 — the white projection traces continuation lower from rejected supply through the $0.66 structural low into the extension pocket where bears can take profit and bulls can attempt a meaningful reaccumulation. Invalidation: a sustained 2D close above $0.85 would invalidate this bearish thesis and signal the broken-floor flip has failed.
AAVE: liquidity sweep before bullish moveThe Macro Picture 🗺️
AAVE's bearish leg from the May $100 rejection has fully matured. The $87 macro floor flipped to resistance, the $75 broken support gave way, and the $68 structural target was tagged and broken cleanly on the way to a $58 capitulation wick — a textbook sell-side liquidity sweep. Momentum tells the bigger story: RSI printed deep oversold below 20 on the flush, then carved a higher low while the candle low held, leaving a clear bullish divergence sitting under the price action. The bearish thesis has done its work; price is now compressing against the $68 ceiling and the question is whether the reversal can sustain through it.
The Setup ⚙️
The Buy Area: The $58–$65 zone is where the sweep cleared late longs and where the RSI divergence was carved — the accumulation pocket that defines the entire bullish case and the level that must hold for any reversal to remain valid.
The Squeeze: Price is coiling between $60 and $66 directly under the $68 ceiling — the tightening range mirrors classic pre-breakout compression where structural sellers are absorbed before resolution.
The Trigger: The $68 zone is now the immediate ceiling and the broken original target — reclaiming it from below would flip the broken level back into support and trap the late shorts who chased the breakdown.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $78 — a clean reclaim of $68 unlocks the path toward the underside of the flipped resistance band, with the $87 macro level as the extended structural ceiling. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $58 would invalidate this divergence setup and reopen the $50 macro extension as the next demand pocket.
TRXUSDT structural reset: targeting $0.3450The Macro Picture 🗺️
TRX has fully unwound the May blow-off, retracing the entire impulse leg from $0.3780 back into the $0.3000–$0.3100 macro accumulation pocket where the move was originally born. RSI has collapsed from deep overbought 80+ into oversold territory near 25 — the kind of structural exhaustion reading that historically marks reset completion rather than fresh continuation. The path of least resistance is shifting back to the side where positioning is cleanest, with late-impulse longs now fully washed out and over-leveraged shorts loading into the macro support zone. The structure now requires one final liquidity sweep to clean the slate before the reset completes.
The Setup ⚙️
The Range Play: Price is consolidating just above $0.3100, building energy after the vertical flush. This compression phase keeps both sides indecisive — bulls hesitate to load until the structural floor is confirmed, while bears who missed the move look for any retest as a new short opportunity. The squeeze rarely resolves through chop alone, and one final directional move is what the structure needs.
The Final Sweep: A clean tag of $0.3000 would deliver the textbook liquidity hunt that resets the structure for good — sweeping the late panic stops nested below the round-number floor and handing the order book to disciplined buyers waiting at the macro support pocket.
The Reaction: A rejection candle off the $0.3000 zone combined with RSI rolling up from oversold 25 would confirm the structural reset and open the path for bulls to reclaim the lost overhead structure.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.3450 — a clean reclaim of macro support flips the read back to constructive, with the lost local pivot acting as the first liquidity pocket where sellers are expected to defend on the way up. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $0.3000 would invalidate this bullish reset thesis and open the path toward a full retest of the $0.2700 macro floor.
POL: liquidity sweep before bullish reversalThe Macro Picture 🗺️
The June 5 reclaim thesis didn't survive — POL closed below the $0.0790 invalidation, sliced straight through the $0.0750 downside magnet, and printed a capitulation wick into $0.0710 over the past week. What looks like terminal weakness on the surface is structurally the deepest oversold print of the entire 2026 range, with RSI flushed below 30 and price now compressing into a tight band above the swing low. The chart points to one more leg lower — a final flush into the $0.0680 liquidity pocket — as the structural reset that exhausts the move, rather than continuation toward fresh macro lows.
The Setup ⚙️
The Capitulation: The cascade from the $0.0820 floor break through the $0.0790 invalidation and into the $0.0710 wick low is now complete — a full multi-leg unwind that cleared out over-leveraged longs accumulated across the prior range.
The Deeper Sweep: One more flush into the $0.0680 zone would grab the last remaining stop cluster sitting below the swing low and complete the structural reset — the kind of move that punishes late shorts and hands the next leg to patient buyers.
The Reversal Trigger: Reclaiming $0.0790 — the former invalidation level — would flip the bearish narrative, confirm the sweep as a structural low, and trigger buy stops resting above the breakdown candle.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $0.0820 — the former macro floor, now the first high-confluence supply test — with extension toward $0.0935 if the broken structure flips back into support. Invalidation: a sustained daily close below $0.0680 would invalidate this reversal thesis and reopen the path toward broader macro lows.






















