S&P 500 Holds Near ResistanceS&P 500 Holds Near Resistance — Breakout Continuation or Another Pullback?
The S&P 500 remains in a broadly bullish structure on the 4H chart, but the recent price action is showing some hesitation near the upper range. After a strong recovery from the 6,300 area, the price climbed steadily and reached the 7,550–7,600 zone. Since then, the index has moved into a consolidation phase, with buyers still defending higher levels but struggling to create a clean breakout.
From a market structure perspective, the S&P 500 is still bullish overall. Price has formed higher highs and higher lows during the recovery phase, and the broader trend remains constructive. However, the latest movement around 7,450–7,500 suggests that the market is now in a short-term decision zone. Buyers need to reclaim the recent highs to confirm continuation, while sellers need a break below support to shift momentum.
The first key resistance zone to watch is around 7,500–7,550. This is the immediate reaction area where price has recently slowed. If buyers can break and hold above this zone, the index may retest 7,600. A stronger breakout above 7,600 could open the door toward 7,700–7,800.
On the downside, the first key support zone is around 7,400–7,350. This area has recently acted as a short-term demand zone and is important for keeping the current bullish structure intact. If price breaks below 7,350, the next support area to watch is around 7,300–7,250. A deeper break below 7,250 would weaken the current recovery structure.
For the bullish scenario, the S&P 500 needs to hold above 7,400–7,350 and break above 7,500–7,550 with confirmation. If this happens, buyers may push the index back toward 7,600, and a sustained move above 7,600 could extend the rally toward 7,700–7,800.
For the bearish scenario, rejection from 7,500–7,550 would show that sellers are still defending the upper range. If the price then breaks below 7,350, short-term correction pressure may increase, opening the way toward 7,300–7,250. A clean break below 7,250 would suggest that the index may enter a broader pullback phase.
Market sentiment remains cautiously bullish. The broader trend still favors buyers, but the index is now trading near a key resistance zone where profit-taking may appear. Right now, confirmation is more important than prediction: above 7,550, bullish continuation may strengthen; below 7,350, pullback risk may increase.
What do you think?
Will the S&P 500 break above 7,550 and continue toward 7,600–7,800? Or will sellers defend resistance and push the index back toward 7,350?
Please share your view below. GBP/USD Rebounds Into ResistanceGBP/USD Rebounds Into Resistance — Recovery Continuation or Bearish Retest?
GBP/USD is showing a clear recovery attempt on the 4H chart after rebounding from the 1.3150 area. Price has moved higher from the recent low and is now trading around 1.3340, but the pair is approaching a key resistance zone where sellers may try to defend the previous breakdown area.
From a market structure perspective, GBP/USD is shifting from a bearish structure into a short-term recovery phase. The previous decline created lower highs and lower lows, showing that sellers were in control. However, the latest rebound from 1.3150 suggests that buyers are trying to rebuild momentum. For a stronger bullish shift, the price needs to break and hold above the 1.3360–1.3400 resistance zone.
The first key resistance zone to watch is around 1.3360–1.3400. This is the nearest reaction area and may decide whether the current rebound continues or fails. If buyers can break above this zone with confirmation, GBP/USD may extend its recovery toward 1.3450–1.3480. A stronger bullish recovery would require the price to reclaim the 1.3500 area.
On the downside, the first key support zone is around 1.3300–1.3270. If price pulls back but holds above this area, the short-term recovery structure may remain valid. Below that, 1.3220–1.3180 becomes the next important support zone. A deeper break below 1.3180 would weaken the current rebound and bring sellers back into control.
For the bullish scenario, GBP/USD needs to hold above 1.3300–1.3270 and break above 1.3360–1.3400 with confirmation. If this happens, buyers may push the price toward 1.3450–1.3480. A sustained move above 1.3500 would confirm a more meaningful recovery structure.
For the bearish scenario, rejection from 1.3360–1.3400 would suggest that sellers are still defending the rebound area. If price then breaks below 1.3270, GBP/USD may pull back toward 1.3220–1.3180. A clean break below 1.3180 would suggest that the recent rebound was only a corrective move within the broader bearish structure.
Market sentiment is currently neutral to cautiously improving. Buyers have clearly stepped in from the lows, but the pair is now testing an important resistance area. Confirmation is key: above 1.3400, recovery momentum may continue; below 1.3270, the rebound may start to lose strength.
What do you think?
Will GBP/USD break above 1.3400 and continue toward 1.3480? Or will sellers defend resistance and push price back toward 1.3220–1.3180?
Please share your view below. EUR/USD Attempts RecoveryEUR/USD Attempts Recovery — Can Bulls Reclaim Control Above 1.1450?
EUR/USD is trying to recover on the 4H chart after the recent sell-off pushed price down toward the 1.1340 area. The pair has bounced from the lows and is now trading around 1.1430, but the recovery is not fully confirmed yet. Buyers are showing signs of strength, but the price is still below the previous breakdown area, where sellers may return.
From a market structure perspective, EUR/USD is shifting from a bearish structure into a short-term recovery phase. The earlier decline created lower highs and lower lows, showing that sellers had control. However, the latest rebound from 1.1340 suggests that buyers are attempting to build a base. To confirm a stronger recovery, EUR/USD needs to reclaim the 1.1450–1.1480 resistance zone.
The first key resistance zone to watch is around 1.1450–1.1480. This is the nearest reaction area and may decide whether the current rebound continues or fails. If buyers can break and hold above this zone, EUR/USD may recover toward 1.1520–1.1550. A stronger bullish shift would require the price to reclaim 1.1580–1.1600.
On the downside, the first key support zone is around 1.1400–1.1380. If price pulls back but holds above this zone, the short-term recovery structure may remain intact. Below that, 1.1350–1.1340 becomes the more important support area. A clean break below 1.1340 would weaken the current rebound and bring sellers back into control.
For the bullish scenario, EUR/USD needs to hold above 1.1400–1.1380 and break above 1.1450–1.1480 with confirmation. If this happens, buyers may push price toward 1.1520–1.1550. A sustained move above 1.1600 would confirm a stronger recovery structure.
For the bearish scenario, rejection from 1.1450–1.1480 would suggest that sellers are still defending the rebound area. If price then breaks below 1.1380, EUR/USD may retest 1.1350–1.1340. A deeper break below 1.1340 would suggest that the rebound was only a corrective move inside the broader bearish structure.
Market sentiment is currently neutral to cautiously improving. Buyers have stepped in from the lows, but the pair still needs a confirmed breakout above resistance before momentum can turn clearly bullish.
Above 1.1480, recovery momentum may strengthen. Below 1.1380, downside pressure may return.
What do you think?
Will EUR/USD break above 1.1480 and recover toward 1.1550? Or will sellers defend resistance and push the price back toward 1.1340?
Please share your view below.
MASON XAUUSD – Gold Holds Bullish Structure At Weekly Open
XAUUSD is trading around 4,181 at the start of the week after holding above the recent breakout structure. Price remains inside the rising trendline channel and above the Ichimoku support area, so the short-term bias is still bullish.
The priority view remains buy on pullback, especially if gold retests the 4,172–4,177 buy order zone and continues to hold above the key support area.
Technical View
Gold is still showing a bullish structure after the strong recovery from the 3,960 area. The market has created higher highs and higher lows, which shows that buyers are still controlling the short-term direction.
Price is currently moving inside a rising trendline channel. This channel is important because it shows the path of the bullish momentum. As long as gold holds above the lower trendline, the upside structure remains valid.
Ichimoku also supports the bullish view. Price is trading above the Ichimoku structure, while the cloud and Ichimoku lines below price may now act as dynamic support. This means pullbacks are still healthier than chasing price at resistance.
The 4,172–4,177 area is the key buy order zone on the chart. If gold pulls back into this zone and forms bullish rejection, it may confirm another higher low before continuing higher.
The 4,155 area is the key support zone. If price stays above this level, buyers still have the advantage. A breakdown below 4,155 would weaken the bullish structure and may create a deeper correction.
The main upside target remains the psychological resistance zone around 4,270–4,280, which also aligns with the Fibonacci 2.618 extension area. This is the next major zone where price may react.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,181
Buy order zone: 4,172–4,177
Key support zone: 4,155
Ichimoku support area: 4,093–4,052
Short-term resistance: 4,190–4,200
Psychological resistance zone: 4,270–4,280
Fibonacci extension target: 2.618
Invalidation: below 4,155
Trading Plan
Buy Priority: 4,172–4,177
Condition: wait for bullish rejection, higher low formation, or price holding above the rising trendline and Ichimoku structure.
SL: below 4,155
TP1: 4,200
TP2: 4,240
TP3: 4,270–4,280
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,200 directly, wait for a retest of this level as support before looking for continuation toward 4,240 and the psychological resistance zone.
Sell View
Sell is not the priority while price stays above the rising trendline, the buy order zone, and the Ichimoku structure. A sell setup only becomes safer if gold breaks below 4,155 and fails to recover back above the key support zone.
Final View
Overall, gold continues to hold a bullish structure at the start of the week. The cleaner plan is to wait for a pullback into the 4,172–4,177 buy zone instead of chasing price near resistance. If this zone holds, the next upside focus remains 4,200, 4,240, and 4,270–4,280.
Will gold retest the buy order zone first, or continue directly toward the psychological resistance area?
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MT - Accumulation Near Completion?MT (ArcelorMittal) is one of the world's largest steel and mining companies, supplying steel products to industries including construction, automotive, infrastructure, and manufacturing. Given its global presence and cyclical nature, the stock is often followed from a long-term investment perspective.
From a technical standpoint, the broader structure appears to align well with Wyckoff Theory. Following a prolonged markdown phase, price has spent a long time developing what looks like an accumulation phase.
The stock is now approaching one of the most important stages of this structure, as it attempts to break above the last major resistance that has capped price throughout the accumulation.
⭕A successful breakout above this resistance would strengthen the case that the accumulation phase is complete and could mark the beginning of the next markup phase.
⭕However, if price fails to break above this level, the accumulation phase may continue for longer before a new bullish leg can develop.
The reaction around this resistance may help confirm whether the accumulation phase is complete and the markup phase is beginning, or if the stock needs more time before a long-term breakout can develop.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#MT #ArcelorMittal #Stocks #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #PriceAction #MarketStructure 
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