DAX Pulls Back Into Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Market Structure
DAX remains within a broader bullish structure despite the latest pullback. The recent decline appears to be a corrective move after failing to sustain a breakout above the recent highs. Price is now approaching an important support zone where buyers may attempt to regain control. Unless this support breaks decisively, the primary uptrend remains technically intact.
Market Sentiment - Moderately Bullish
Although short-term momentum has weakened following the recent rejection, the broader market structure continues to favor buyers. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic while price holds above major support.
Bullish Scenario
If buyers successfully defend the current support area and reclaim 26,150, bullish momentum could gradually return. A move above 26,350 would confirm renewed buying interest and expose the recent swing high near 26,600.
Bearish Scenario
If sellers continue pushing below 25,900, the correction may extend toward the next demand zone around 25,700. A decisive break beneath that level would weaken the broader bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper retracement.
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Market Outlook
The recent decline looks more like profit-taking than a confirmed trend reversal. Buyers are now testing a key demand area, and the next directional move will likely depend on whether this support can generate another higher low. A recovery above nearby resistance would reinforce the broader bullish trend.
────────────────────
Key Levels
First Resistance 26,150
Second Resistance 26,350
First Support 25,900
Second Support 25,700
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Future Scenarios
A sustained move above 26,150 would indicate that buyers are regaining control and could drive price back toward 26,350 and potentially 26,600.
However, if price fails to hold above 25,900, selling pressure could accelerate toward 25,700, increasing the risk of a deeper corrective phase before the broader uptrend resumes.
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Event Risk
DAX continues to react to both European and global macroeconomic developments.
Traders remain focused on European Central Bank policy expectations, Germany's economic outlook, Eurozone inflation data, corporate earnings, and movements in U.S. equity markets. Broader risk sentiment and bond yields are also likely to influence short-term price action.
The next confirmed major macro event is the Federal Reserve meeting on September 15–16, 2026. Any change in interest-rate expectations could affect global equity markets, including European indices, through shifts in risk appetite and capital flows.
Ultimately, price reaction is more important than the headlines. If positive news cannot lift DAX back above 26,150–26,350, sellers may retain near-term control. Conversely, if negative news fails to break 25,900–25,700, buyers may be preparing for another recovery.
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Please share your view below:
Do you expect DAX to rebound from the current support area, or is this correction likely to extend before buyers return?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
Technical Analysis
Japan 225 Breaks Support — Is Another Leg Lower Beginning?Market Structure
Japan 225 remains in a short-term bearish structure after failing to establish a sustained recovery. The recent rebound stalled below previous swing highs, and sellers have regained control by pushing price below the recent consolidation range. The sequence of lower highs and lower lows suggests bearish momentum remains dominant unless buyers reclaim key resistance.
Market Sentiment - Moderately Bearish
Market sentiment has weakened as repeated selling pressure continues to limit upside attempts. Buyers are beginning to defend nearby support, but stronger confirmation is still required before a meaningful recovery can develop.
────────────────────
Market Outlook
The broader trend has shifted into a corrective phase following the sharp decline from the August highs. Price is now testing an important demand area where buyers may attempt to stabilize the market. Whether this becomes a temporary bounce or the beginning of a larger recovery will depend on price behavior around nearby resistance.
────────────────────
Key Levels
First Resistance 64,900
Second Resistance 65,600
First Support 64,200
Second Support 63,500
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Future Scenarios
Bullish Scenario
If buyers successfully defend 64,200 and reclaim 64,900, bullish momentum could gradually improve and open the way toward 65,600, suggesting that the recent selloff was only a corrective move.
Bearish Scenario
If sellers break below 64,200, downside pressure may accelerate toward 63,500. A decisive break below that level would reinforce the current bearish structure and increase the probability of another leg lower.
────────────────────
Event Risk
Japan 225 remains highly sensitive to both domestic and global macroeconomic developments.
Investors continue to monitor Bank of Japan policy expectations, the U.S. Federal Reserve interest-rate outlook, Treasury yields, USD/JPY movements, global technology stocks, and overall risk sentiment. As many major Japanese exporters benefit from currency weakness, fluctuations in the Japanese yen remain an important driver of index performance.
The next confirmed major macro event is the Federal Reserve meeting on September 15–16, 2026. Any shift in interest-rate expectations could influence global equity markets and Japanese stocks through changes in risk appetite and currency movements.
Ultimately, price reaction matters more than the headlines. If positive news cannot lift Japan 225 back above 64,900–65,600, sellers are likely to remain in control. Conversely, if negative news fails to break 64,200–63,500, the market may begin forming a stronger base for recovery.
────────────────────
Please share your view below:
Do you expect Japan 225 to recover above 64,900 and regain bullish momentum, or will sellers extend the correction toward lower support?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
Nasdaq 100 — Can Buyers Prevent a Deeper Pullback?Market Structure
The Nasdaq 100 remains in a broad consolidation after failing to sustain its recent recovery. Price continues to trade below the major swing high and is forming lower highs in the short term, indicating that bullish momentum has weakened. However, the index is approaching an important demand zone where buyers may attempt to stabilize the market before another directional move develops.
Market Sentiment - Neutral to Slightly Bearish
Market sentiment has become more cautious as buyers lose momentum near resistance. Sellers currently have a slight short-term advantage, although no confirmed medium-term bearish trend has emerged yet.
Bullish Scenario
If buyers successfully defend the first support and reclaim the first resistance, the current pullback could develop into a higher low, opening the way toward the second resistance and restoring bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below the first support, selling pressure may accelerate toward the second support. A decisive breakdown would increase the probability of a broader corrective phase.
────────────────────
Market Outlook
The Nasdaq 100 is currently correcting within a broader range rather than establishing a confirmed downtrend. The next meaningful move will likely depend on whether buyers can defend support and regain control above nearby resistance.
────────────────────
Key Levels
First Resistance 29,500
Second Resistance 30,350
First Support 29,000
Second Support 28,500
────────────────────
Future Scenarios
A sustained break above 29,500 would suggest buyers are regaining control and could trigger a move toward 30,350, reinforcing the broader recovery structure.
However, if price falls below 29,000, downside momentum may strengthen toward 28,500, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction.
────────────────────
Event Risk
The Nasdaq 100 remains highly sensitive to macroeconomic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations.
Investors continue to monitor inflation reports, labor-market data, Treasury yields, corporate earnings, AI-related investment trends, and guidance from major technology companies. Because the index has a heavy concentration of large-cap technology stocks, earnings and forward guidance from leading AI companies remain important market catalysts.
The next confirmed major macro event is the Federal Reserve meeting on September 15–16, 2026. Any change in interest-rate expectations could significantly affect equity valuations and overall risk sentiment.
Ultimately, market reaction matters more than the headlines themselves. If positive news cannot push the Nasdaq 100 above 29,500–30,350, bullish expectations may already be priced in. Conversely, if negative news fails to break 29,000–28,500, buyers may continue defending the broader consolidation structure.
────────────────────
Please share your view below:
Do you expect the Nasdaq 100 to reclaim 30,350 and resume its broader recovery, or will sellers extend the current correction toward lower support?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
XPeng (XPEV) – Key decision levelNYSE:XPEV
XPeng is positioning itself as a leading global Physical AI company. Beyond electric vehicles, the company is developing three additional directions: robotaxis, IRON humanoid robots, and autonomous driving technologies.
I want to share my view on the technical picture of the stock, which is now approaching the most important point of its long-term cycle. Looking at history, back in 2003–2004 this range acted as strong resistance, which later, after breaking upward, turned into key support. Now we are seeing a classic mirror level playout.
A grid has been drawn from the all-time high to the low. The key level lands exactly at $10.53. This confirms that the $9.70–$10.53 range is the strongest zone where major decisions will be made. Price is currently drifting down toward the upper boundary of this area, and this is where I plan to assess the next moves for the coming months.
The technical slowdown near the zone is backed by strong fundamentals. On September 1, XPeng released August delivery data: 39,107 vehicles, up 4% year-over-year. Cumulative deliveries since the start of the year have exceeded 1.2 million units.
In August, the company received approval for remote testing of autonomous vehicles without a safety driver on designated roads in Guangzhou – a key step toward full commercial robotaxis.
On August 24, XPeng's robotics division announced it had raised over $900 million – the largest single round in China's embodied AI sector. The round was led by IDG Capital , with Tencent and Alibaba as strategic investors, and Gaorong Ventures also participating. The post-money valuation of the division reached $6.3 billion. IRON will enter mass production by the end of 2026, with commercial deliveries to customers starting in 2027. XPeng retains a controlling stake in the division.
Large capital is not rushing to exit the stock amid these transformations. The current drift toward support is happening on declining trading volumes – a clear signal of seller exhaustion. Additionally, around 6% of shares are currently shorted. If a confident buyback begins from this zone, sellers will be forced to cover their positions, technically accelerating the upside impulse.
Important context: on the day of the $900 million funding announcement, the stock fell 8.5% on volume 16.3 times above average. The market reacted to potential dilution rather than the substance of the deal. This divergence between market reaction and fundamental value is what creates the current technical opportunity.
The trading plan is as follows. The $9.70–$10.53 range is the main zone of interest for position building. If price holds within these boundaries and shows a reversal impulse above $12.00, a solid medium-term opportunity will open with a first target of $15.99 and a second target of $21.46. If the zone is broken to the downside and price closes below $9.70, the upside scenario would be completely invalidated.
This publication is for analytical purposes only and does not constitute individual investment advice. Share your thoughts in the comments and don't forget to support the idea with a like if you found the analysis useful!
XAUUSD | 15M Bearish Continuation SetupGold remains under bearish pressure on the 15-minute timeframe, with price continuing to respect the lower-high structure.
🔻 Market Structure: Bearish
📌 15M Supply Zone: 4,318–4,330
📌 SMT / OB Resistance: 4,368–4,375
📌 Major 15M OB: 4,378–4,388
🧠 Technical View
Price has been forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, maintaining the broader intraday bearish structure.
The highlighted 15M Supply Zone is the first area I would monitor for a potential bearish reaction. A deeper retracement into the SMT/OB region around 4,368–4,375 could provide additional confirmation if price shows rejection there.
If resistance continues to hold and bearish structure remains intact, the downside scenario points toward the 4,290–4,283 area shown on the chart. 🎯
⚠️ A sustained move above the 4,378–4,388 OB would weaken or invalidate this bearish scenario and would require reassessment.
🔑 Key Structure
Resistance → Supply → Rejection → Bearish continuation 📉
The setup is conditional on price reaction and confirmation; it should not be interpreted as a guaranteed outcome. Risk management remains essential. 🛡️📊
⚠️ Technical analysis for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
EURJPY - SELL OPPORTUNITYI am looking to Short EJ in SELL AREAS 1 or 2 for a potential +50PIPS.
Entry Criteria SELL 1:
- Looking to execute SELL on signs of reversal, price rejections etc.
- NO ENTRY on clear break of SELL AREA 1 with bullish momentum.
Entry Criteria SELL 2:
- Looking to execute final SELL trade on signs of reversals, price rejections etc.
- NO ENTRY if price shows bullish momentum and clear break through of SELL AREA 2.
Risk Management will be adjusted according to how trade plays out.
Please risk what you can afford to lose. Protect your capital and take calculated risks according to personal risk tolerance.
Trade Safe Habibis.
Ethereum — Can Buyers Defend the Uptrend?Market Structure
Ethereum remains within a broader bullish structure despite the recent pullback. Following an explosive breakout above 2,400, price entered a consolidation phase near the highs and is now retracing toward an important support area. While short-term momentum has weakened, the series of higher lows remains intact, suggesting the broader trend still favors buyers unless key support fails.
Market Sentiment - Moderately Bullish
Market sentiment remains cautiously constructive. Buyers are becoming more selective after the recent rally, while sellers are testing support levels. The current decline appears more like profit-taking than a confirmed trend reversal.
Bullish Scenario
If Ethereum stabilizes above the first support and breaks back above the first resistance, buying momentum could return quickly and expose the second resistance, reinforcing the broader uptrend.
Bearish Scenario
If sellers push price below the first support, downside pressure may accelerate toward the second support. Losing that level would suggest the current correction is becoming deeper than a normal pullback.
────────────────────
Market Outlook
Ethereum is currently digesting its strong rally through a controlled correction. As long as price remains above the key support zone, the broader bullish structure remains valid. The next directional move will likely depend on whether buyers can reclaim the recent supply area.
────────────────────
Key Levels
First Resistance 2,470
Second Resistance 2,530
First Support 2,400
Second Support 2,340
────────────────────
Future Scenarios
A sustained move above 2,470 would indicate renewed buying strength and could open the way toward 2,530, confirming continuation of the broader uptrend.
However, if price breaks below 2,400, selling pressure could increase toward 2,340, where buyers would need to defend the structure to avoid a larger correction.
────────────────────
Event Risk
Ethereum remains sensitive to both macroeconomic developments and crypto-specific catalysts.
Market participants continue to monitor Federal Reserve policy expectations, spot ETF flows, Ethereum network activity, Layer-2 adoption, institutional demand, staking participation, stablecoin liquidity, and regulatory developments.
The next confirmed major macro event is the Federal Reserve meeting on September 15–16, 2026. Changes in interest-rate expectations could affect overall market liquidity and investor appetite for digital assets.
Ultimately, price reaction matters more than the headlines themselves. If positive news cannot lift Ethereum above 2,470–2,530, bullish expectations may already be reflected in price. Conversely, if negative news fails to push price below 2,400–2,340, it would suggest buyers continue absorbing selling pressure, and the broader uptrend remains intact.
────────────────────
Please share your view below:
Do you expect Ethereum to reclaim 2,530 and resume its primary uptrend, or will the current pullback extend into a deeper correction?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
Bitcoin is the Uptrend Preparing for the Next Move?Market Structure
Bitcoin remains in a broader bullish structure despite the recent pullback. After an explosive rally toward the 80,000 area, price has entered a healthy consolidation phase characterized by higher lows within the short-term range. Although upside momentum has slowed, the overall market structure continues to favor buyers as long as key support levels remain intact.
Market Sentiment - Moderately Bullish
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. Buyers are still defending the recent support zone, but conviction is weakening near resistance as traders wait for the next major catalyst before committing to directional positions.
Bullish Scenario
If buyers reclaim the first resistance around 79,500, bullish momentum could accelerate toward the second resistance near 81,000. A successful breakout above that level would confirm trend continuation and increase the probability of fresh all-time-high attempts.
Bearish Scenario
If Bitcoin loses the first support around 77,000, selling pressure may increase toward the second support near 75,500. A break below that area would indicate that the current consolidation is evolving into a deeper correction.
────────────────────
Market Outlook
Bitcoin continues to consolidate after its powerful breakout, suggesting that the market is digesting recent gains rather than reversing the broader trend. The current sideways structure favors continuation as long as support continues to hold. However, a decisive breakout from the current range will likely determine the next directional move.
────────────────────
Key Levels
First Resistance 79,500
Second Resistance 81,000
First Support 77,000
Second Support 75,500
────────────────────
Future Scenarios
A sustained move above 79,500 would confirm renewed buying interest and could open the door toward 81,000, reinforcing the broader bullish structure.
On the other hand, a break below 77,000 would expose 75,500 and signal that sellers have gained temporary control over short-term momentum.
────────────────────
Event Risk
Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to both macroeconomic developments and cryptocurrency-specific news.
Market participants continue to monitor U.S. monetary policy, institutional ETF flows, Treasury yields, inflation data, stablecoin regulation, blockchain network activity, and institutional adoption trends. Any significant change in liquidity expectations could quickly influence Bitcoin volatility.
The next confirmed major macro event is the Federal Reserve meeting on September 15–16, 2026. Changes in interest-rate expectations may affect overall market liquidity and investor appetite for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Ultimately, price reaction matters more than the headlines themselves. If bullish news cannot lift Bitcoin above 79,500–81,000, upside momentum may already be largely priced in. Conversely, if bearish news fails to push price below 77,000–75,500, it could indicate that buyers continue to absorb selling pressure and the broader uptrend remains intact.
────────────────────
Please share your view below:
Do you expect Bitcoin to break above 81,000 and resume its primary uptrend, or will the current consolidation develop into a deeper correction first?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
XAUUSD | Trendline Breakout & RetestGold is showing signs of a potential structure shift after breaking above the descending trendline. 📊
🔹 Trendline Breakout → Buyers gained momentum
🔹 Retest Zone → 4,300–4,200
🔹 1D OB + FVG → 4,200–4,100
🔹 First Resistance → 4,600–4,700 🎯
🔹 Major Supply Zone → 4,950–5,050 ⚠️
🔹 Rejection Block → 5,450–5,600
📌 Market Structure
The current setup can be viewed as:
📉 Downtrend → 🚀 Breakout → 🔄 Retest → 📈 Potential Continuation
The 4,300–4,200 area is the key region to watch. A strong reaction from this zone could support further upside, while a decisive breakdown below 4,200–4,100 would weaken the bullish structure. ⚠️
🎯 What I'm Watching
If price successfully holds the retest and continues forming higher highs & higher lows, the next resistance areas come into focus:
4,600 → 4,700 → 4,950–5,050 🚀
Patience is key — confirmation matters more than chasing the move. 🧠📊
⚠️ This is technical analysis for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk and trade according to your own plan.
GBPUSD: Rising Trendline Breakdown | Liquidity in Focus🔹 GBPUSD is showing a clear shift in short-term market structure after breaking below the rising trendline that supported the previous bullish move. Price was rejected from the 1.3650 resistance area and has since moved lower, forming weaker highs and breaking beneath the established structure. The current price action suggests sellers have gained control, while the 1.3430–1.3450 liquidity area stands out as an important downside zone.
🔸 If bearish pressure remains active, GBPUSD could continue moving toward the highlighted liquidity area, where price may react or consolidate. A strong reclaim of the broken trendline could change the short-term structure and bring resistance back into focus. Traders may wait for clear price confirmation before considering any trade, while a sustained move below the liquidity zone could suggest further downside momentum.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
BTCUSD 30M - LIQUIDITY SWEEP _ BERISH REVERSAL /SELL SETUP BTCUSD 30M Technical Analysis 📉
Bias: Bearish
BTCUSD has shown a clear rejection from the 79,000–79,300 supply/liquidity zone. The liquidity sweep above the previous highs was followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating a potential short-term market-structure shift.
Key Levels:
🔴 Supply / Sell Zone: 79,100–79,300
⚠️ Confirmation Level: 78,000
🎯 TP1: 77,433
🎯 TP2: 77,100
🎯 TP3: 76,700–76,000
❌ Invalidation: Strong reclaim above 79,300
Trade Idea: A pullback into 78,200–78,500 followed by bearish rejection/CHoCH would provide a stronger short setup. If BTC breaks and holds below 78,000, bearish continuation toward the marked targets becomes more likely.
Conclusion: The chart currently favors SELL, but confirmation is preferable rather than chasing the move at the current price.
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 2, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 2, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:15 AM | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | Forecast: 47K | Previous: 44K
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #ADPEmployment #JobsReport #SPY #SPX
DXY 1H: Bullish Recovery Into HTF Channel Resistance — RejectionThe Dollar Index has been trading inside a descending HTF channel following the strong sell-off from the 101+ area.
What I'm Seeing:
HTF structure remains bearish/ corrective.
Price recently bounced from the 98.55–98.60 Fib zone.
H1 structure has shifted bullish with a BOS.
Price is now approaching the upper channel/resistance zone around 99.70–99.85.
What I Expect Next
I'm watching for price to push into the 99.70–99.85 area.
If we get a strong rejection, I expect a potential pullback toward 99.10–99.20 and possibly the lower part of the channel.
However, if DXY breaks and holds above 99.85, I'll reassess the bearish channel and look for further upside toward the 100.00–100.15 area.
I'm not predicting the next move — I'm waiting for price action to confirm it.
Let the market show the direction. Then execute.
#DXY #USDIndex #XAUUSD #GOLD #PriceAction #Forex #TradingView
Silver | XAG/USD | Elliott Wave Structure Analysis on 4H TimefraWhen analyzing the current Silver structure, two main scenarios remain possible. The purpose of this analysis is not to predict the future with certainty, but to evaluate possible paths based on price behavior and Elliott Wave Principle.
In the first scenario, the recent upward movement may still be part of a larger corrective structure. In this case, the current rally could be developing as Wave B within a classic Zigzag pattern. If this scenario remains valid, we may expect another downward move as Wave C, completing the larger corrective structure and Wave IV.
However, in the second scenario, the recent low may have already completed a complex correction, such as a multiple Zigzag structure. In this view, the current upward movement becomes more important; because if price develops a clear five-wave impulsive structure, it could indicate that the corrective phase has ended and a new bullish wave has started.
At the moment, both scenarios are following a similar initial path: the market needs to reveal whether the next movement is corrective or impulsive.
The development of a three-wave corrective structure would increase the probability of further correction, while the formation of a five-wave impulsive pattern could signal the beginning of a new trend.
Elliott Wave Principle is not a tool for certainty; it is a framework for understanding market structure and allowing price action to determine which scenario becomes valid.
Mr. Nobody | Elliott Wave Principle
Silver / U.S. Dollar
May 19
XAGUSD | 4H Wave Map — A Two-Layer Look at Structure
Aug 8
##Leading Diagonal Completed | What Is Silver Telling Us Next?
Gold | The Structure Will Decide# **Gold | 4H Structure Update**
### ⏱️ **Reading Time: About 3 Minutes**
In our previous analysis, we focused on identifying the structure the market is actually revealing, rather than trying to force a predetermined path. After the recent move, two main structural scenarios remain under consideration.
## 🟦 Scenario 1 | Bullish Case
This is our aggressive structural scenario.
The previous decline may have been a **Leading Diagonal**, or alternatively, part of a **Triple Zigzag** that ultimately completed **Wave IV**.
If Wave IV has indeed ended, the recent five-wave advance becomes highly significant. This move could be **Wave 1 of a new impulsive structure**, or **Wave A of a larger corrective pattern**.
The market has now entered a pullback, and this is where the **type and depth of the correction become critical**.
The correction could develop further before the market produces another advance. At that point, the relationship between the new move and the initial five-wave structure should provide important clues about the larger pattern.
Will the next advance develop with the character of a **third wave**?
Or will the market begin forming **nested 1–2 structures**?
For now, the answer lies within the correction itself.
**The structure has to prove itself.**
---
## ⚫ Scenario 2 | Bearish Case
This more conservative scenario looks at the structure from a higher degree and becomes increasingly important if the bullish case weakens or is invalidated.
Under this interpretation, the previous decline could still be **Wave A of a Leading Diagonal**, while the current advance is developing as **Wave B**.
The key question is:
**Will the recent advance continue to extend, or has an important portion of Wave B already been completed with the end of a sharp corrective structure?**
If the current pullback develops as a three-wave structure, its relationship with the recent five-wave advance will become particularly important.
In that case, the market may still need another advance to complete the **larger Wave B**. After that, a **Wave C decline** could complete the next larger corrective structure.
---
## **Conclusion**
For now, the **bullish case** remains our active and aggressive scenario. However, the current correction needs to clarify the role of the recent five-wave advance.
The **bearish case**, on the other hand, views the market from a higher structural degree and becomes more relevant if the bullish structure changes or is invalidated.
At this stage, the market has not given us a definitive answer.
**The current correction, the next move, and its relationship with the recent five-wave advance will reveal an important part of the puzzle.**
We don't force a path onto the market.
**The structure reveals itself, and we follow it.**
**Price is the outcome. Structure is the cause.**
**Patterns whisper. I listen.**
**— Mr. Nobody**
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
May 17
Gold 4H: Leading Diagonal or Just the Beginning?
Aug 7
Gold | Tracking Wave IV Before the Next Major Move
Aug 24
Gold: IV or New Impulse?
AUDUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.71700 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and currently is attempting to break it out. if we get further dips below support we will be looking for a potential retrace of the trend towards further lows.
Trade safe, Joe.
ETHUSD: ETF demand is strong, but price still needs to reclaim $ETHUSD is trading near $2,440 after a sharp rejection from the $2,530 area. The news background is mixed: Ethereum still has support from ETF inflows and institutional demand, but broader crypto sentiment is under pressure from profit-taking and a more hawkish Fed tone after Jackson Hole.
Recent headlines show that spot Ethereum ETFs continue to attract capital, while exchange reserves and staking dynamics remain supportive for the longer-term supply story. But the short-term chart is telling a different story: buyers failed to hold above $2,500, and the market quickly sold the breakout attempt.
Technically, ETH is now below EMA 9, EMA 20 and SMA 50, which confirms short-term bearish pressure. Price is still above the SMA 200 near $2,387, so the broader H1 structure is not fully broken yet, but the recovery has clearly weakened.
The key level now is $2,500. If ETH cannot reclaim this zone, rebounds may look more like retests than real continuation. The nearest resistance is around $2,472–2,493, where SMA 50 and EMA 20 are located. Above that, buyers need to recover $2,506–2,513 to improve momentum.
RSI is around 55, which means ETH is not oversold anymore after the bounce. MACD is still negative, but the histogram is improving, so sellers are losing some momentum. This gives ETH room for a rebound, but confirmation is still missing.
TH still has a supportive ETF narrative, but the chart needs to prove it. As long as price stays below $2,500, the short-term structure remains fragile. A clean reclaim of $2,500–2,513 would bring buyers back into control, while a break below $2,387 would turn the H1 structure bearish.
Ethereum has institutional support, but price action is still stuck below the $2,500 confirmation zone.
Direction: Long only after recovery confirmation
🔺 Entry: $2,490 if price reclaims and holds this zone
🛑 Stop Loss: $2,460
🎯 Take Profit 1: $2,535
Alternative: if ETH fails to reclaim $2,493–$2,513, the setup is not active. A breakdown below $2,387 would weaken the H1 structure and open risk toward $2,350–$2,320.
Key idea: no confirmation above $2,500 — no clean long setup.
Not financial advice.
Crypto Market Remains Resilient Despite Risk-Off PressureThe crypto market is moving nicely and strongly higher, as anticipated in the previous ideas. Despite the current slowdown, it looks like just a consolidation within the uptrend due to an unfinished five-wave bullish impulse.
Global bonds sold off, pushing yields to multi-decade highs as rising inflation concerns increased expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike this month. Oil also climbed as geopolitical tensions intensified. However, there have been no major changes in the crypto market since yesterday, and it is still holding strong despite some risk-off flows. The market continues to consolidate on an intraday basis, which we see as a correction within an uptrend, suggesting that we may see a further rally soon. Both the Crypto TOTAL and TOTAL2 market cap charts, with TOTAL2 excluding Bitcoin, are pointing higher for wave 5 once the current correction fully unfolds. This correction could take the form of a bullish triangle or a slightly deeper flat correction. Ideally, we will see a continuation higher once stocks complete their corrective pullback and the US dollar resumes its decline.
US10Y - Bulls Face a Major Resistance Zone!US10Y remains bullish, trading inside the ascending blue channel while continuing to respect the long-term support and resistance zones.
Price is now testing the red resistance area, where a rejection could send price back toward the blue support area.
⭕For the bearish scenario to gain more strength, price would need to break below the blue trendline and the green trigger area, providing the first major indication that momentum may be shifting from bullish to bearish. Moreover, a bearish divergence is still developing, which is not confirmed yet but could add further confluence to the bearish scenario if confirmed.
⭕However, if the red resistance area fails to hold and buyers manage to break above it, the bullish structure would remain intact and the focus would stay on the continuation of the broader uptrend.
The reaction around this resistance may reveal whether sellers can push price back toward support or if buyers are ready to extend the broader bullish move.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#US10Y #TreasuryYields #Bonds #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading #MarketStructure #US10YYield
XAUUSD Gold 1H Demand zone Revarsal setupXAUUSD / GOLD – 1H Technical Analysis 📊
Gold is currently approaching a strong Demand Zone around 4,310–4,335 after a significant bearish move. I’m watching this area for a potential bullish reaction.
📍 Demand Zone: 4,310–4,335
🎯 Potential Target: 4,690–4,700
📈 Scenario: If price respects demand and confirms a bullish reversal, the next major move could target the Supply Zone near 4,690.
⚠️ Wait for confirmation before entering and always manage risk properly.
This is a technical analysis scenario, not financial advice.
SP500 30M — BEARISH BREAKDOWN: SELLERS TARGET 7,640SP500 30M — Bearish Analysis 🔴
Current bias: Bearish. Price rejected strongly from the 7,760–7,780 supply zone after taking liquidity above the prior high.
Structure: The bullish sequence has shifted into a bearish structure, with a CHOCH followed by a structure break.
Key resistance: 7,720–7,730. This is the main pullback/sell area.
Current price: Around 7,683, so chasing the sell here carries more risk.
TP1: 7,660
TP2: 7,640
Major demand: 7,640–7,660
Invalidation: A sustained move back above 7,730 weakens the immediate bearish setup; a break/reclaim of 7,760–7,780 would invalidate the bearish idea more strongly.
Best setup: Wait for a pullback toward 7,720–7,730, then look for bearish confirmation before entering.
Overall bias: SELL 🔴 | Target: 7,660 → 7,640
XAUUSD: Next Week, Everything Depends On…All attention on Gold is now around the 4350 area .
If price comes down there and we actually get to see the reaction from this level, for me that will be the decisive moment.
I may trade the move on the way down toward 4350, but until we reach this area, I’m not really interested in longs.
Why 4350 matters →
If this zone holds and price reacts strongly from it, then I’ll start looking for the upside again and for another move toward the highs.
But if 4350 doesn’t hold and price gets accepted below it, then I’ll be looking lower — toward the green monthly diagonal .
And I think this level may tell us quite a lot about what Gold wants to do next month.
Either → we hold here and go straight back up.
Or → we first go lower and test the monthly diagonal before the next bigger move develops.
So for me, 4350 is the key level .
We may trade before we get there, of course. But for longs, I want to see this level first.
And then we’ll see what September gives us.
NZD/CHF BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.478 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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