BTC TABI (Tops and Bottoms Indicator) Model

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TABI BTC Model

Overview
The TABI BTC Model is an 18-component composite oscillator designed to identify Bitcoin macro cycle tops and bottoms. It's a reverse-engineered and expanded implementation of the InvestAnswers TABI (Top And Bottom Indicator) concept, combining price-derived technicals, on-chain proxies, and cross-market signals into a single 0–100 score with a 7-color heatmap.

How It Works
Each of the 18 sub-metrics is percentile-ranked over a rolling 4-year lookback (1460 bars on Daily), multiplied by a configurable weight, then averaged and smoothed with a 5-period EMA. This normalization means every component contributes on the same 0–1 scale regardless of its raw units — solving the scaling problem that breaks most multi-indicator composites.

The 18 Components
Price-Derived (7)

350DMA Multiple, Mayer Multiple (200DMA), Pi Cycle Distance, Puell Proxy (365DMA), RSI(14), Log-Log Regression Position, Volatility Ratio (ATR)
TradingView On-Chain Feeds (2)

MVRV Z-Score (BTC_MVRV), BTC Dominance Inverted (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D)
On-Chain Approximations (2)

NUPL Proxy (2yr MA), Hodler Proxy (1yr/4yr MA ratio)
New Cross-Market & Flow Signals (7)

Monthly RSI — Multi-year cycle exhaustion; historically only fires >80 at confirmed tops
SOPR Proxy — Short-term return velocity vs. medium-term trend (profit-taking flow)
Reserve Risk Proxy — Price vs. accumulated long-term holder cost basis
ETH/BTC Ratio — Late-cycle altcoin rotation signal
Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) — Dry powder / buying fuel remaining
Coinbase Premium — US institutional demand proxy
Hash Ribbon Proxy — Miner capitulation signal (with fallback)

Color Zones
Score Zone Interpretation
0–20 🟣 Dark Blue Maximum buy / capitulation bottom
20–35 🔵 Blue Strong accumulation
35–50 🟢 Green Mild accumulation
50–65 🟡 Yellow Neutral / caution
65–75 🟠 Light Orange Reduce size
75–85 🟧 Orange Sell zone
85–100 🔴 Red Danger / distribution top

Features
Fully adjustable weights per metric — tune to your analysis style
Individual metric toggles to inspect sub-components
Built-in alerts for crosses of 20, 50, and 85 thresholds
Extreme zone background highlighting
Graceful NA handling on on-chain feeds that may be unavailable on some plans

Best Used On
Symbol: BTCUSD (or any major BTC pair)
Timeframe: Daily (the 4-year percentile lookback is calibrated for this)

Limitations
This is not the original InvestAnswers TABI — that uses 19 proprietary metrics including true on-chain data (SOPR, hashrate, NVT) that Pine Script cannot access directly
On-chain feeds (MVRV, BTC.D, QUANDL hashrate) depend on your TradingView plan; the script falls back to neutral (0.5) if data is missing
Coinbase and USDC data only goes back to ~2018; pre-2019 percentiles on those components are compressed
Not financial advice — a tool to support analysis, not replace it

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