OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Kalshi 15m BTC Intel
This indicator classifies the Bitcoin market into one of four states — UPTREND, DOWNTREND, RANGING, or STABLE — over a rolling 15-minute horizon, using a confluence vote across 7 independent indicators. It was originally built as an alerting bot for 15-minute BTC event contracts (Kalshi's KXBTC15M series), where the only question that matters is: which way is price leaning over the next 15 minutes, and how confident can I be?
It is designed for COINBASE:BTCUSD but works on any liquid BTC pair. It is timeframe-independent: the script requests 1-minute data internally and computes everything on its own rolling 300-bar (5-hour) 1-minute buffer, so you can view it on any chart timeframe from 1 minute up.
How it works
Seven indicators each cast a vote: bullish (+1), bearish (−1), or neutral (0):
EMA cross — EMA 27/63 on 1-minute closes (equivalent to 9/21 on 3-minute bars); votes on the sign of the separation, with a deadband to filter chop.
RSI(14) — computed on a 3-minute resample; bullish above 55, bearish below 45.
Volume surge — last 15 minutes of volume vs. a 4-hour baseline of 15-minute blocks; a surge ≥1.5× votes in the direction of the concurrent price move.
Window delta — the % move over the trailing 15 minutes, with a deadband.
Micro momentum — EMA-smoothed 1-minute returns.
Acceleration — momentum now vs. 5 bars ago (is the move speeding up or fading?).
Tick trend — net direction of the last 5 one-minute closes.
Confidence = how many of the 7 agree with the majority direction (x/7).
A classifier then combines trend strength (size of the 15-minute move, confirmed by EMA alignment), a momentum label (from the momentum-family indicators), and realized volatility (population stdev of 1-minute returns) into the four states. UPTREND/DOWNTREND require a strong, EMA-confirmed move with aligned momentum; STABLE requires low volatility and neutral momentum; everything else is RANGING.
What's on the chart
Dashboard panel — current state, confidence dot-meter (●●●●●○○), trend/momentum/volatility labels, 15-minute move, realized vol, and each indicator's live vote with its reading. Position, size, theme (dark/light), and a compact mode are configurable.
Confluence-colored candles — gradient from gray (no agreement) to full trend color (7/7), so conviction is visible bar by bar.
Glow EMAs + trend cloud — the cloud deepens as EMA separation grows.
BUY/SELL labels at the bar where the state flips into UPTREND/DOWNTREND (switchable to plain triangles).
Background tint for directional and stable states (RANGING is untinted by default).
Alerts
Create one alert with condition "Any alert() function call" to receive every state transition with detail, e.g. RANGING → UPTREND (6/7, +0.21% 15m move). Separate alert conditions exist for high-confidence (≥6/7) UPTREND and DOWNTREND only.
Notes and limitations
All thresholds (RSI levels, deadbands, surge ratio, confidence bands) are exposed as inputs; defaults are the values the original bot ran with.
The state updates intrabar in real time; on closed history it reflects one evaluation per chart bar. Signals print when a state begins, which is after a move has partially developed — this is a regime classifier, not a prediction.
1-minute intrabar data depth is limited by TradingView, so older chart history may show a warm-up state; the live edge is unaffected.
RANGING means no edge — stand aside. Most of the time the market is RANGING; that is the indicator working as intended, not a defect.
This is a decision-support tool, not financial advice. No indicator wins consistently on 15-minute binaries; always size positions accordingly.
It is designed for COINBASE:BTCUSD but works on any liquid BTC pair. It is timeframe-independent: the script requests 1-minute data internally and computes everything on its own rolling 300-bar (5-hour) 1-minute buffer, so you can view it on any chart timeframe from 1 minute up.
How it works
Seven indicators each cast a vote: bullish (+1), bearish (−1), or neutral (0):
EMA cross — EMA 27/63 on 1-minute closes (equivalent to 9/21 on 3-minute bars); votes on the sign of the separation, with a deadband to filter chop.
RSI(14) — computed on a 3-minute resample; bullish above 55, bearish below 45.
Volume surge — last 15 minutes of volume vs. a 4-hour baseline of 15-minute blocks; a surge ≥1.5× votes in the direction of the concurrent price move.
Window delta — the % move over the trailing 15 minutes, with a deadband.
Micro momentum — EMA-smoothed 1-minute returns.
Acceleration — momentum now vs. 5 bars ago (is the move speeding up or fading?).
Tick trend — net direction of the last 5 one-minute closes.
Confidence = how many of the 7 agree with the majority direction (x/7).
A classifier then combines trend strength (size of the 15-minute move, confirmed by EMA alignment), a momentum label (from the momentum-family indicators), and realized volatility (population stdev of 1-minute returns) into the four states. UPTREND/DOWNTREND require a strong, EMA-confirmed move with aligned momentum; STABLE requires low volatility and neutral momentum; everything else is RANGING.
What's on the chart
Dashboard panel — current state, confidence dot-meter (●●●●●○○), trend/momentum/volatility labels, 15-minute move, realized vol, and each indicator's live vote with its reading. Position, size, theme (dark/light), and a compact mode are configurable.
Confluence-colored candles — gradient from gray (no agreement) to full trend color (7/7), so conviction is visible bar by bar.
Glow EMAs + trend cloud — the cloud deepens as EMA separation grows.
BUY/SELL labels at the bar where the state flips into UPTREND/DOWNTREND (switchable to plain triangles).
Background tint for directional and stable states (RANGING is untinted by default).
Alerts
Create one alert with condition "Any alert() function call" to receive every state transition with detail, e.g. RANGING → UPTREND (6/7, +0.21% 15m move). Separate alert conditions exist for high-confidence (≥6/7) UPTREND and DOWNTREND only.
Notes and limitations
All thresholds (RSI levels, deadbands, surge ratio, confidence bands) are exposed as inputs; defaults are the values the original bot ran with.
The state updates intrabar in real time; on closed history it reflects one evaluation per chart bar. Signals print when a state begins, which is after a move has partially developed — this is a regime classifier, not a prediction.
1-minute intrabar data depth is limited by TradingView, so older chart history may show a warm-up state; the live edge is unaffected.
RANGING means no edge — stand aside. Most of the time the market is RANGING; that is the indicator working as intended, not a defect.
This is a decision-support tool, not financial advice. No indicator wins consistently on 15-minute binaries; always size positions accordingly.
สคริปต์โอเพนซอร์ซ
ด้วยเจตนารมณ์หลักของ TradingView ผู้สร้างสคริปต์นี้ได้ทำให้เป็นโอเพนซอร์ส เพื่อให้เทรดเดอร์สามารถตรวจสอบและยืนยันฟังก์ชันการทำงานของมันได้ ขอชื่นชมผู้เขียน! แม้ว่าคุณจะใช้งานได้ฟรี แต่โปรดจำไว้ว่าการเผยแพร่โค้ดซ้ำจะต้องเป็นไปตาม กฎระเบียบการใช้งาน ของเรา
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน
สคริปต์โอเพนซอร์ซ
ด้วยเจตนารมณ์หลักของ TradingView ผู้สร้างสคริปต์นี้ได้ทำให้เป็นโอเพนซอร์ส เพื่อให้เทรดเดอร์สามารถตรวจสอบและยืนยันฟังก์ชันการทำงานของมันได้ ขอชื่นชมผู้เขียน! แม้ว่าคุณจะใช้งานได้ฟรี แต่โปรดจำไว้ว่าการเผยแพร่โค้ดซ้ำจะต้องเป็นไปตาม กฎระเบียบการใช้งาน ของเรา
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน