Amazon.com, Inc.
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Why Amazon Is a Buy Now

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Why Amazon Is a Buy Now

Amazon is currently going through a significant transition period in early 2026.

Although the stock has experienced recent volatility with a drop of nearly 20% so far this year the analyst consensus remains mostly bullish with price targets ranging between $260 and $300.


🪴Growth Catalysts

AWS Cloud and AI is the primary engine.

AWS has returned to growth rates of 24% year over year surpassing previous quarters driven by the massive migration of Generative Artificial Intelligence workloads.

Digital Advertising is growing above 20% and has much higher margins than retail. Amazon is establishing itself as the third global player behind Google and Meta by monetizing Prime Video in addition to its website.

Proprietary Chips like Trainium and Graviton allow Amazon to reduce its reliance on Nvidia. Its chip business is expected to reach $10 billion soon while offering better costs to cloud customers.

Logistics Efficiency and Robotics through the implementation of AI in warehouses are successfully expanding operating margins in the retail business which is traditionally the tightest.


🐘 The Elephant in the Room 200 Billion Dollar Capex

The major current focus of tension is the announcement of 200 billion dollars in capital expenditure for 2026.

A negative interpretation is that the market fears this massive investment in AI infrastructure will reduce free cash flow in the short term.

A positive interpretation from CEO Andy Jassy is that this spending responds to massive real demand from customers. If Amazon manages to monetize this investment as it did with the original cloud infrastructure the long term profit potential is enormous.


📈 Technical Perspective and Valuation

Right now, in terms of price, Amazon is in a long-term bullish trend but is currently at a fairly low point. In fact, it is very close to the bearish channel.
ekran görüntüsü

In the short term, losing the $210 level has sent the price directly to $190. This area could be a very interesting buy for several reasons:

  1. We will be at the bottom of the channel.
  2. We will be right above a high-volume zone.
  3. These were the 2021 highs.


The analyst consensus is at $300, which means we are talking about a potential upside of more than 50% from this $190 support.
ekran görüntüsü

The Stop Loss can be very tight, we shouldn't see the price below $175. If that happens, we would be losing very important supports and even breaking a legendary channel.

Let's see how the price reacts to the $190 zone.


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Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.