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BTCUSD — Bearish Rejection at Supply Zone | Daily Chart Analysis

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I observed a strong bullish recovery after price transitioned out of a significant demand zone near the $70,500 region and began reclaiming higher levels with increasing momentum. The market initially traded within a corrective and consolidating range, showing controlled price action before buyers gradually gained control and initiated a sustained impulsive expansion to the upside.
Following the breakout from that base, price established a sequence of higher lows and continued respecting a rising short-term channel structure. The bullish movement remained organized and consistent, indicating sustained buying pressure rather than a temporary spike driven by emotion. The market printed clean swing points at each leg of the move, respecting both the lower and upper boundaries of the channel with notable discipline. As price approached the $82,000 region, momentum began showing early signs of exhaustion and the market started compressing beneath a local supply zone near the recent highs.
The current structure shows price reaching into a highlighted supply region between $82,000 and $83,500, where a visible rejection has begun forming. The candlestick behaviour near this zone reflects a shift in short-term order flow, with buyers losing their grip after an extended push and sellers beginning to assert control. The market is now consolidating just below that supply area, maintaining bearish positioning near the highs following the rejection. Two key reference levels have been identified below current price — the VPC zone near $79,000, which represents a short-term equilibrium and value area, and the PC level near $75,000, which marks the next significant structural support and a natural retracement target if selling pressure continues.
Currently, price is reacting from a key supply region after a sustained bullish expansion from the lower demand zone, and the short-term structure is beginning to show signs of a corrective phase.
Speculative Outlook:
Price is now interacting with an important resistance region, making this area a critical decision point for near-term direction. If sellers maintain control and the supply zone continues to hold, price may lose the short-term bullish structure and initiate a deeper pullback toward the VPC level near $79,000, with a broader corrective move potentially targeting the PC region around $75,000. This would represent a healthy retracement following the extended rally from the $70,500 demand zone.
There is also a possibility of a brief liquidity sweep above the current highs, where price temporarily pushes into the $83,000 to $83,500 area to capture resting orders before rotating downward into a more meaningful corrective retracement. This type of move would be consistent with the overall distribution behavior observed near the supply zone.
However, if buyers successfully reclaim the supply region and price achieves a sustained close above $83,500, the corrective scenario would be invalidated and the market may continue expanding into higher resistance levels. This would shift the structure back into a bullish continuation phase and open the door for a move toward the $85,000 to $87,000 range. The current region therefore remains critical for determining whether the market transitions into short-term distribution or resumes its broader upward trend.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
— The-Analyst-Club | Trading View | May 08, 2026

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