🌍 Macro Context & Market Expectations
This week, the market is closely focused on:
US employment data
US inflation data (CPI / PCE)
Additionally, traders are monitoring:
Developments in US–Iran negotiations
US Supreme Court rulings related to trade tariffs
→ These factors may amplify short-term volatility, especially around key technical levels.
📈 Trend & Market Structure
Medium-term trend: BULLISH
Price has rebounded strongly from the ~4,700 low to around 5,04x
Last week printed a bullish Hammer candle, confirming long-term buying interest
On the H12 timeframe, the A–B–C corrective structure is not yet complete
Short term: price is consolidating within a tightening range, waiting for a clear breakout
🔑 Key Price Levels
🟢 Support:
5,000 | 4,950 | 4,930 | 4,850 | 4,700 | 4,650
🔴 Resistance:
5,050 | 5,095 | 5,100 | 5,110 | 5,200 | 5,300
🎯 Primary Scenarios
✅ Bullish continuation
Price holds above 4,930 and breaks decisively above 5,050
→ Potential upside toward 5,095 – 5,100, and further to 5,200 – 5,300
❌ Failed breakout / Pullback
Price fails to clear 5,050 and closes below 4,930
→ Likely correction toward 4,850, with deeper pullback to 4,700 – 4,650
🧭 Trading Strategy
Prioritize buy-the-dip opportunities in line with the trend
Avoid counter-trend shorts unless clear reversal signals appear at resistance
Stay patient and avoid FOMO — only trade when risk–reward is clearly defined
This week, the market is closely focused on:
US employment data
US inflation data (CPI / PCE)
Additionally, traders are monitoring:
Developments in US–Iran negotiations
US Supreme Court rulings related to trade tariffs
→ These factors may amplify short-term volatility, especially around key technical levels.
📈 Trend & Market Structure
Medium-term trend: BULLISH
Price has rebounded strongly from the ~4,700 low to around 5,04x
Last week printed a bullish Hammer candle, confirming long-term buying interest
On the H12 timeframe, the A–B–C corrective structure is not yet complete
Short term: price is consolidating within a tightening range, waiting for a clear breakout
🔑 Key Price Levels
🟢 Support:
5,000 | 4,950 | 4,930 | 4,850 | 4,700 | 4,650
🔴 Resistance:
5,050 | 5,095 | 5,100 | 5,110 | 5,200 | 5,300
🎯 Primary Scenarios
✅ Bullish continuation
Price holds above 4,930 and breaks decisively above 5,050
→ Potential upside toward 5,095 – 5,100, and further to 5,200 – 5,300
❌ Failed breakout / Pullback
Price fails to clear 5,050 and closes below 4,930
→ Likely correction toward 4,850, with deeper pullback to 4,700 – 4,650
🧭 Trading Strategy
Prioritize buy-the-dip opportunities in line with the trend
Avoid counter-trend shorts unless clear reversal signals appear at resistance
Stay patient and avoid FOMO — only trade when risk–reward is clearly defined
📊 XAUUSD & Forex Trading📈 Intraday setups – risk-managed⏱️ Live alerts + technical reasoning🧠 Consistency over hype📌 Trade the plan. Manage the risk.👉 Full signals & real-time insights
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.
📊 XAUUSD & Forex Trading📈 Intraday setups – risk-managed⏱️ Live alerts + technical reasoning🧠 Consistency over hype📌 Trade the plan. Manage the risk.👉 Full signals & real-time insights
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.