STRONG USD DATA, BUT GOLD REFUSES TO BREAK DOWN

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Gold remains under pressure inside a descending channel despite stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data released yesterday.

ADP Employment Change came in at 122K versus 118K forecast, while ISM Services PMI rose to 54.5 versus 53.7 expected. Both releases supported the USD and reinforced the view that the U.S. economy remains resilient.

However, gold has not yet broken below key support, suggesting buyers are still defending the current demand zone.

Technically, price continues to trade within a bearish channel while approaching resistance near the channel midline. The broader structure remains bearish unless buyers can reclaim higher levels.

📍 Key Levels:

🔴 4485 – 4495

Key resistance and preferred area for bearish continuation.

🟦 4435 – 4445

Current support zone.

🟦 4420 – 4430

Major support and downside target if sellers regain momentum.

📈 Preferred Scenario:

✅ Rejection from resistance keeps the bearish trend intact.

✅ A break below support could open the path toward 4425 and lower.

❌ A strong breakout above channel resistance would weaken the bearish outlook.

Today's focus shifts to U.S. Unemployment Claims. A weaker labor market reading could provide short-term support for gold, while stronger data may reinforce the current bearish structure.

Trade safe and stay disciplined.

Feragatname

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