PEPEUSDT | 4H Range Compression — Liquidity Sweep Then Expansion

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On the 4H timeframe, PEPEUSDT is currently trading within a compressed range near equilibrium (0.5 level), following a volatile sequence of bullish and bearish candles. The structure shows signs of indecision, with price failing to establish clear continuation in either direction — a typical setup before a liquidity-driven move.

Price is oscillating around a mid-range Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating that the market is rebalancing prior inefficiencies. However, this consolidation is not indicative of strength, but rather of accumulation of liquidity on both sides of the range.

Within the ICT framework, such conditions often precede a liquidity sweep. In this case, price is likely to push slightly higher into premium to target Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) resting above recent highs. This move would complete the short-term objective of collecting liquidity.

Once liquidity is taken, the expectation is for a bearish expansion. The projected path shows price reversing from premium and moving downward, targeting Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) below the range. This move would also fully rebalance the FVG and potentially extend further into discount zones.

From an execution standpoint, traders should avoid entering during the consolidation phase. The optimal setup is to wait for the liquidity sweep above the highs, followed by confirmation such as a lower timeframe Change of Character (CHoCH) or Break of Structure (BOS) before entering short positions.

Invalidation occurs if price breaks above the range with strong bullish displacement and holds, indicating continuation rather than a reversal.

This is not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.

Feragatname

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