Global trend continuation on Philip Morris Int. (Ticker PMI)

Fundamentals:

- recent yearly and quarterly reports of PMI were pretty nice due to the art of bussiness (comsumer staples) as well as specification of the product - tabak-related items, and we all know that whatever happens people will continue smoking. Their business with electronic cigarettes improves, erobers the market and brings revenue and earnings. And this is de-facto one of the main reasons why investors would hold money in the business and even buy more - because of reccuring dividends and more or less stable earnings. Even the current lower than expected earnings for Q4 of 2025 are completely overblown by positive 2026-2028 earnings expectation report. I personally saw new production factories the company builds near the existing company buildings in the country I am living in, and that only means that they have money and they have demand on their product which makes it reasonable to continue expanding
- as the market sentiment remains unstable and is the reason for worries of most of traders, the consumer industry has historically played a role of a safe harbor for the times of instability and as regular cash flow during bullish times
- these factors do speak more for possible existence of further investors interest in the company, which may lead to further growth
- but dont forget that there are financial reports every 3 months, and situation can always change and smart money might decide to take out money from an asset which is definetly on its local or global highs

Technicals:

- the negative factor is the possible upside W-formatted double-top pattern on the global picture which in case of negative news can push the price down
- there are stop-losses directly above recent high in June 2025, so if price reaches that level a lot of short squeezes can be triggered
- in case of positive scenario and move forward I expect the price to retest the closest zone which has not yet acted as support
- but this will only happen if the further upward movement is weak
- if the price continues the upward movement straight from the place it is now (182.00-183.00) it can mean a strong trend continuation
- nevertheless if the "not-really-good-one support zone" does not hold the price at 173.00, a next target on 163.00 can be taken into account

Conclusion:

- due to market sentiment and technical upside W-formation it is recommended to follow the price action on Friday 6 Feb., but enter the trade on Monday 9 Feb.
- if price shows strengh and moves forward the recent high, I will look for medium-term trend continuation
- but in case there are no significant changes today on 6 Feb and bearish news over weakend, the short-term downside correction scenario to 173.00 or 163.00 will be taken under loop, but decission met on spot

- sometimes it is better to wait than to hurry

# - - - - -

WAIT UNTIL 9 February for decission

⚠️ Short-term Signal - Sell ⬇️
✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit on 182.00
🛑 SL - 187.24
🤑 Partial TP 50% - 171.36
🤑 Final TP 100% - 163.79
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2 and 1 : 3.5👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 1 week 🗓

# - - - - -

Only if short trade succeeds

⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️
✅ Entry Point - 173.24
🛑 SL - 158.53
🤑 TP - 223.54
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 :3.44 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 1 month 🗓

# - - - - -

Alternative HIGH RISK

⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️
✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit 184.80
🛑 SL - 17.34
🤑 TP - 223.54
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.9 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 2 weeks 🗓

Good Luck! ☺️

# - - - - -

DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade

Not

#PM

İşlem aktif

İşlem kapandı: durdurma seviyesi

Short trade closed by stop
Watch for trend continuation

Not

Bad stops, but the price reached both targets. Who would have expected...

TotSamiyKaa

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Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.

TotSamiyKaa

Visit my Risk Enforcement App → mywarner.app/
Follow me on Telegram → t.me/totsamiykaa
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See me on Threads → threads.com/@totsamiykaa

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