RTS Index
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How long will the Russian war last ? Chart clues ?

141
Observations from the price action of the Russian Index

I can see a macro long term triangle forming on the Russian index

As the price eventually pushes into the apex it will pop out upwards or downwards

This price movement into the apex may give a clue as to how long the war will last.

If the price moves out of the triangle, before the war is officially over the people in the know maybe telling us that the war is ending. ie if the price breaks the upper or lower trend line

Unfortunately there are many potential years left in this trade before the triangle times out

I notice that if we take the bull case as shown here, if the war was to end then the index could quite easily move back up to the 2011 high giving from todays price level approx. 100% move up.

As most of the world is encouraged not to invest in Russia, when it is allowed this may be a buying opportunity to catch up with the rest of the worlds money markets

However its also interesting to see that the Russian index has not collapsed like many thought would happen, its traded sideways for multiple years.

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.