📉 Higher-Timeframe Structure (5D)
Primary trend: Bearish (clear lower highs & lower lows)
Market phase: Late-stage downtrend / compression at lows
Key observation: Price is basing after a prolonged selloff, but no confirmed trend reversal yet
🔴 Major Resistance Levels (Supply Zones)
These are levels where sellers previously stepped in aggressively.
R1 – 0.00198
-Most recent breakdown level
-Previous support → now resistance
-Expect first rejection on any bounce
R2 – 0.00457
-Strong range high rejection
-Multiple failed pushes here
R3 – 0.00797
-Major distribution area
-Prior consolidation before continuation down
-High confluence resistance
R4 – 0.01307
-Macro lower high zone
-Would require trend shift to reclaim
-Only relevant if momentum + volume return
R5 – 0.040 – 0.056
-Extreme HTF supply
-Likely cycle-top liquidity
-Unrealistic without a full market regime change
🟢 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones)
S1 – 0.00088 (Current Price Area)
-Local range low
-Price is compressing here
-Weak bounces so far → support is fragile
S2 – 0.00070 – 0.00075
-Psychological + thin liquidity zone
-If S1 fails, price likely moves here fast
S3 – 0.00040
-Final visible HTF demand
-High risk / high reward bounce zone
-Loss of this level = potential capitulation
📐 Trendline Context
-Descending trendline from mid-2025 highs is still respected
-Any rally into resistance below the trendline is corrective, not bullish
-Trendline break + reclaim of 0.00198 is first structural shift
📊 Trading Scenarios:
🐻 Bearish Continuation (High Probability)
Reject at 0.00198 or 0.00457
Target:
-0.00075
-0.00040
-Bias remains bearish while below 0.00198
🐂 Relief Bounce (Countertrend)
Short-term bounce from 0.00088
Targets:
-0.00198
-0.00457 (max extension)
-Treat as dead-cat bounce unless structure breaks
🔁 Trend Reversal (Low Probability, Confirmation Needed)
Requires:
-Weekly close above 0.00198
Break of descending trendline
-Higher low formation
-Volume expansion
Primary trend: Bearish (clear lower highs & lower lows)
Market phase: Late-stage downtrend / compression at lows
Key observation: Price is basing after a prolonged selloff, but no confirmed trend reversal yet
🔴 Major Resistance Levels (Supply Zones)
These are levels where sellers previously stepped in aggressively.
R1 – 0.00198
-Most recent breakdown level
-Previous support → now resistance
-Expect first rejection on any bounce
R2 – 0.00457
-Strong range high rejection
-Multiple failed pushes here
R3 – 0.00797
-Major distribution area
-Prior consolidation before continuation down
-High confluence resistance
R4 – 0.01307
-Macro lower high zone
-Would require trend shift to reclaim
-Only relevant if momentum + volume return
R5 – 0.040 – 0.056
-Extreme HTF supply
-Likely cycle-top liquidity
-Unrealistic without a full market regime change
🟢 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones)
S1 – 0.00088 (Current Price Area)
-Local range low
-Price is compressing here
-Weak bounces so far → support is fragile
S2 – 0.00070 – 0.00075
-Psychological + thin liquidity zone
-If S1 fails, price likely moves here fast
S3 – 0.00040
-Final visible HTF demand
-High risk / high reward bounce zone
-Loss of this level = potential capitulation
📐 Trendline Context
-Descending trendline from mid-2025 highs is still respected
-Any rally into resistance below the trendline is corrective, not bullish
-Trendline break + reclaim of 0.00198 is first structural shift
📊 Trading Scenarios:
🐻 Bearish Continuation (High Probability)
Reject at 0.00198 or 0.00457
Target:
-0.00075
-0.00040
-Bias remains bearish while below 0.00198
🐂 Relief Bounce (Countertrend)
Short-term bounce from 0.00088
Targets:
-0.00198
-0.00457 (max extension)
-Treat as dead-cat bounce unless structure breaks
🔁 Trend Reversal (Low Probability, Confirmation Needed)
Requires:
-Weekly close above 0.00198
Break of descending trendline
-Higher low formation
-Volume expansion
İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.