Folks the 10Y bond yield is forming a bull flag! This isn't good for the markets as it can have a couple of meanings and outcomes.
If this goes up it could mean inflation expectations would go higher. The cause could be many things such as oil goes back up, or very strong economic data the list can go on.
if it goes up by oil then the war escalates further. If its too strong economic data then the FED cant cut rates because of the fear to cut too soon on strong economic growth would bring inflation soaring again. The fed has their hands tied and were just going to have to watch the charts.
If this plays to the up side cheep money would be off the table and markets wouldn't like that and could cause the market to pull back here.
If this goes up it could mean inflation expectations would go higher. The cause could be many things such as oil goes back up, or very strong economic data the list can go on.
if it goes up by oil then the war escalates further. If its too strong economic data then the FED cant cut rates because of the fear to cut too soon on strong economic growth would bring inflation soaring again. The fed has their hands tied and were just going to have to watch the charts.
If this plays to the up side cheep money would be off the table and markets wouldn't like that and could cause the market to pull back here.
Not
Hello folks, as the chart is playing out like we predicted there are a couple things that happened since. The sp500 put a reversal signal of a topping tail and has pulled back but so far its only been minor! As the 10 year really gets its mojo and really breaks out then I think we will get a more serious pull back as its warning us that inflation expectations would go higher and limits the ability for the FED to cut rates. Also it could mean the bond market knows something that we don't know yet and it could be something else then inflation and oil. Something isn't right and were going to find out soon enough. BE READY!
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.