1. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD continues to weaken as the market prices in Fed rate cuts in 2026. The downward pressure on the dollar provides strong support for gold.
• U.S. Stocks:
U.S. equities edged higher on rate-cut expectations, but the gains are modest → cash flow is not fully risk-on, so gold maintains its safe-haven role.
• FED:
The Fed has signaled the end of its tightening cycle and opened the door to rate cuts starting in Q1/2026 → a strong medium-term catalyst for gold.
• TRUMP:
The Trump administration prioritizes increased defense spending, tax cuts, and tighter trade policies against China. This increases geopolitical risks → continues to support gold prices.
• Gold ETF – SPDR:
SPDR remains inactive, neither buying nor selling. During a long-term uptrend, the fact that SPDR is not selling is a positive signal.
b) Politics:
• Middle East tensions rising again.
• Russia–Ukraine conflict not cooling down.
• U.S.–China trade tensions may escalate.
• China–Japan tensions: Coast guard vessels from both countries repeatedly approach the Senkaku Islands. Japan is increasing military cooperation with the U.S., and China is responding strongly.
• The Trump administration is increasing pressure on Venezuela, threatening to re-impose heavy sanctions if no policy changes occur.
→ Geopolitical risks are rising, continuing to support gold prices.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Market sentiment is neutral–bullish.
• Geopolitical risks + Fed pivot expectations help maintain defensive cash flow.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Gold has broken out of the consolidation triangle and is retesting the previous resistance trendline → now acting as support.
• MA50 & MA20 are trending upward, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
• The 4,186 – 4,200 zone is an ideal retest area for price to rebound.
• Short-term targets: 4,274 → 4,300 → 4,380.
• Only if price breaks below 4,146 will the short-term trend weaken.
Overall technical view: Uptrend established – wait for retest to BUY safely.
RESISTANCE: 4,244 – 4,274 – 4,380
SUPPORT: 4,186 – 4,146 – 4,095
3. Previous Market Session (28/11/25):
• Gold traded in a narrow range, tested the upper trendline, and bounced back.
• No major movement due to lack of big news and SPDR staying inactive.
• Buyers maintain underlying support but not yet strong enough for a breakout.
• Price action mainly technical-driven.
4. Strategy for Today (01/12/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4277 – 4275
SL: 4281
TP1: 4269
TP2: 4263
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4191 – 4193
SL: 4187
TP1: 4199
TP2: 4205
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD continues to weaken as the market prices in Fed rate cuts in 2026. The downward pressure on the dollar provides strong support for gold.
• U.S. Stocks:
U.S. equities edged higher on rate-cut expectations, but the gains are modest → cash flow is not fully risk-on, so gold maintains its safe-haven role.
• FED:
The Fed has signaled the end of its tightening cycle and opened the door to rate cuts starting in Q1/2026 → a strong medium-term catalyst for gold.
• TRUMP:
The Trump administration prioritizes increased defense spending, tax cuts, and tighter trade policies against China. This increases geopolitical risks → continues to support gold prices.
• Gold ETF – SPDR:
SPDR remains inactive, neither buying nor selling. During a long-term uptrend, the fact that SPDR is not selling is a positive signal.
b) Politics:
• Middle East tensions rising again.
• Russia–Ukraine conflict not cooling down.
• U.S.–China trade tensions may escalate.
• China–Japan tensions: Coast guard vessels from both countries repeatedly approach the Senkaku Islands. Japan is increasing military cooperation with the U.S., and China is responding strongly.
• The Trump administration is increasing pressure on Venezuela, threatening to re-impose heavy sanctions if no policy changes occur.
→ Geopolitical risks are rising, continuing to support gold prices.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Market sentiment is neutral–bullish.
• Geopolitical risks + Fed pivot expectations help maintain defensive cash flow.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Gold has broken out of the consolidation triangle and is retesting the previous resistance trendline → now acting as support.
• MA50 & MA20 are trending upward, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
• The 4,186 – 4,200 zone is an ideal retest area for price to rebound.
• Short-term targets: 4,274 → 4,300 → 4,380.
• Only if price breaks below 4,146 will the short-term trend weaken.
Overall technical view: Uptrend established – wait for retest to BUY safely.
RESISTANCE: 4,244 – 4,274 – 4,380
SUPPORT: 4,186 – 4,146 – 4,095
3. Previous Market Session (28/11/25):
• Gold traded in a narrow range, tested the upper trendline, and bounced back.
• No major movement due to lack of big news and SPDR staying inactive.
• Buyers maintain underlying support but not yet strong enough for a breakout.
• Price action mainly technical-driven.
4. Strategy for Today (01/12/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4277 – 4275
SL: 4281
TP1: 4269
TP2: 4263
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4191 – 4193
SL: 4187
TP1: 4199
TP2: 4205
İşlem kapandı: hedefe ulaştı
Signals BUY Close Full Hit TP2 + 120pips 🗡Not
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İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.
📢 Sometimes signals appear on TradingView with a slight delay!
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.