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XAUUSD | Rate-Cut Hopes & Geopolitical Risks Fuel Rally

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GOLD | Technical & Fundamental Overview

Gold surged to a record high above $4,420, driven by growing expectations of U.S. rate cuts next year and rising safe-haven demand amid heightened geopolitical tensions.
Markets are increasingly positioning for a looser U.S. monetary policy into 2026, which remains a strong supportive backdrop for non-yielding assets like gold.
The rally is also supported by continued central-bank purchases, steady inflows into gold-backed funds, and escalating geopolitical risks following renewed U.S. pressure on Venezuela.

Technically:
To maintain the bullish continuation, gold needs to close a 1H candle above 4420, which would open the way toward 4430 and 4445, with further extension toward 4460.

However, as long as the price trades below 4420, a short-term correction is likely:
First toward 4400

Then potentially toward 4379 – 4367

Pivot Line: 4420
Resistance: 4430, 4445, 4460
Support: 4400, 4380, 4368

Bias: Bullish above 4420; corrective below it.

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