🔍 Market Structure (SMC)
• The previous major trend was bullish, but currently, the price is adjusting within a downtrend channel
• The nearest peak is a Weak High → short-term selling pressure still exists
• Within the downtrend channel, the price has created a small BOS, indicating sellers are controlling the short-term pace
• The bullish structure has not been completely broken, so the current decline is considered a pullback / liquidity redistribution
🔴 Reaction zone above (short-term SELL)
• OB + Fibo retracement: 4,454 – 4,466
• Confluence:
Order Block bearish
Fibo 0.5–0.618 of the decline
Upper trendline of the downtrend channel
👉 Only SELL for short-term reactions, not SELL according to the major trend.
🟢 Key BUY zone (Main Demand)
• Bullish OB: 4,405 – 4,395
• This is a zone:
Clearly defined previous Demand
Bottom of the downtrend channel
Area prone to liquidity sweep + strong reaction
👉 Prioritize BUY when the price sweeps down to this zone and holds the bottom.
🎯 Expectations & Targets
• TP1: 4,440
• TP2: 4,466
• TP3 (if breaking the channel): return to the above Weak High zone
❌ Invalidation
• Price closes M30 below 4,395
→ Demand fails, bullish structure breaks → stop BUY scenario
📌 Quick Summary
• Short-term: Sideway – decline within the channel
• Main strategy: BUY low – SELL reaction
• Do not FOMO in the middle, wait for the price to hit the zone
• The previous major trend was bullish, but currently, the price is adjusting within a downtrend channel
• The nearest peak is a Weak High → short-term selling pressure still exists
• Within the downtrend channel, the price has created a small BOS, indicating sellers are controlling the short-term pace
• The bullish structure has not been completely broken, so the current decline is considered a pullback / liquidity redistribution
🔴 Reaction zone above (short-term SELL)
• OB + Fibo retracement: 4,454 – 4,466
• Confluence:
Order Block bearish
Fibo 0.5–0.618 of the decline
Upper trendline of the downtrend channel
👉 Only SELL for short-term reactions, not SELL according to the major trend.
🟢 Key BUY zone (Main Demand)
• Bullish OB: 4,405 – 4,395
• This is a zone:
Clearly defined previous Demand
Bottom of the downtrend channel
Area prone to liquidity sweep + strong reaction
👉 Prioritize BUY when the price sweeps down to this zone and holds the bottom.
🎯 Expectations & Targets
• TP1: 4,440
• TP2: 4,466
• TP3 (if breaking the channel): return to the above Weak High zone
❌ Invalidation
• Price closes M30 below 4,395
→ Demand fails, bullish structure breaks → stop BUY scenario
📌 Quick Summary
• Short-term: Sideway – decline within the channel
• Main strategy: BUY low – SELL reaction
• Do not FOMO in the middle, wait for the price to hit the zone
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, alım satım veya diğer türden tavsiye veya öneriler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Koşulları bölümünde daha fazlasını okuyun.