Type : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 1.2016
Pivot: 1.1894
Support : 1.1781
Preferred Case: On the H4, with the price moving below the ichimoku cloud and moving within the descending trend line, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 1.1894, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 1.1781, where the swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may rise to the 1st resistance at 1.2016, which is in line with the 38.2% fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: the retail sales data (0.3%) was out today, which is higher than the expected and previous (-0.2%), which is a positive signal of economy, therefore we could expect the drop momentum decrease recently.
Resistance : 1.2016
Pivot: 1.1894
Support : 1.1781
Preferred Case: On the H4, with the price moving below the ichimoku cloud and moving within the descending trend line, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 1.1894, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 1.1781, where the swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may rise to the 1st resistance at 1.2016, which is in line with the 38.2% fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: the retail sales data (0.3%) was out today, which is higher than the expected and previous (-0.2%), which is a positive signal of economy, therefore we could expect the drop momentum decrease recently.
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