This is my bullish Elliott Wave count for Aedifica, which I consider the more probable scenario. The corrective structure that began in early February 2020 reached the ideal Fibonacci retracement levels for a sharp correction between 0.5 and 0.618 by October 26, 2023 (not shown in this chart), and has already unfolded over nearly four years.
Despite the fact that price action over the past year has remained largely corrective and we haven’t yet seen a clear impulsive move, I still view this as the most likely count and my preferred scenario. In my view, the yellow micro-degree Wave 1/2 has completed, and we are currently in the third wave impulse, with the lower orange-degree Wave 1/2 either completed or nearing completion.
That said, the recent upward movement still appears somewhat corrective in nature, so we should remain cautious of the potential for a larger correction which I discussed in detail yesterday.
Despite the fact that price action over the past year has remained largely corrective and we haven’t yet seen a clear impulsive move, I still view this as the most likely count and my preferred scenario. In my view, the yellow micro-degree Wave 1/2 has completed, and we are currently in the third wave impulse, with the lower orange-degree Wave 1/2 either completed or nearing completion.
That said, the recent upward movement still appears somewhat corrective in nature, so we should remain cautious of the potential for a larger correction which I discussed in detail yesterday.
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