American Express: Momentum Stalling

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American Express shares recently managed to further extend green wave C before shifting into a period of sideways movement. However, the stock is expected to resume its climb toward the high of beige wave b in the near term. After that, our primary scenario calls for a sharp pullback, which would bring price down into our blue long Target Zone between $205.35 and $167.99. We anticipate this range will mark the final low of the blue corrective wave (IV). If the stock instead maintains its momentum and decisively breaks through resistance at $397.21, the bullish alternative scenario will be triggered (probability: 38%). In that case, blue wave alt.(IV) would be considered already complete.

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