The Current Tactical Setup: We are currently sitting in a 3-hour Bullish Order Block (OB). This zone is significant because it produced the local impulse that broke structure to the upside.
The Goal: I’m looking for a countertrend long to play the rebalance into the overhead supply.
Target 1: The local 3hr Supply.
Target 2 (The Trap): The 12-hour Supply Zone sitting between $100k - $104k.
Execution Status: HANDS OFF I don’t "love" this area enough to blind-enter. I am currently parked in the 3hr block, but I am waiting for Lower Timeframe Market Structure to show its hand.
Scenario A: A 15m/45m Shift in Character → I enter Long for the $100k+ move.
Scenario B: No trigger, structure fails → I remain flat and wait for the $89k daily floor.
The Macro Pivot: If we hit that $100k-$104k zone and the 12hr supply holds, I am switching to my macro bearish thesis. The weekly structure is broken, and I believe that supply zone is the "Point of Origin" for a slide down to $30k by Christmas.
I have no one to talk to about this in my immediate circle, so I'm documenting it here for accountability.
NFA | DYOR
取消訂單
No entry for me, waiting on the 12hr/daily to play out.註釋
I guess we don't get a bounce back into the 100s...
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