Symbol: 
BTCUSDT
Horizons: D (red) & W (blue)
Context:
After BTC reached the Daily target at 84,212
(see notes in BTC Long Setup — 29 Jan BTC Long Setup of 29 Jan),
the D-horizon has turned down, showing about a 60% probability of a short-term pullback.
At the same time, the W-horizon remains in a strong upside extreme, with a very high probability of upward mean reversion.
In short: some near-term weakness inside a bigger bullish picture.
What the model expects
D-horizon (D — red):
-Possible move: down toward 76,263
-Probability: ~60%
-Timing: ~1 day on average, up to ~20 days
-Note: Levels can adjust after sharp moves — this is normal behavior for the RSm model.
W-horizon (W — blue):
-Possible move: up toward 82,347
-Probability: above 90%
-Timing: several days up to ~40 days
-Note: Same thing here — fast moves can slightly shift the levels.
Execution note
This post shows how I read and trade the RSm model.
Execution and risk management are always personal decisions.
Not investment advice.
BTCUSDT Horizons: D (red) & W (blue)
Context:
After BTC reached the Daily target at 84,212
(see notes in BTC Long Setup — 29 Jan BTC Long Setup of 29 Jan),
the D-horizon has turned down, showing about a 60% probability of a short-term pullback.
At the same time, the W-horizon remains in a strong upside extreme, with a very high probability of upward mean reversion.
In short: some near-term weakness inside a bigger bullish picture.
What the model expects
D-horizon (D — red):
-Possible move: down toward 76,263
-Probability: ~60%
-Timing: ~1 day on average, up to ~20 days
-Note: Levels can adjust after sharp moves — this is normal behavior for the RSm model.
W-horizon (W — blue):
-Possible move: up toward 82,347
-Probability: above 90%
-Timing: several days up to ~40 days
-Note: Same thing here — fast moves can slightly shift the levels.
Execution note
This post shows how I read and trade the RSm model.
Execution and risk management are always personal decisions.
Not investment advice.
註釋
Approaching the D-horizon註釋
The 1st target is reached (76.2k) D-horizon
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