BULL has been in a steady decline essentially since the start of the government shutdown, forming a clean falling wedge structure very similar to the setup we saw in May and June. Back then, the wedge resolved with a brief breakout but ultimately moved into a sideways consolidation inside the yellow range before finally lifting in late June/early July.Price is now sitting at the apex of a new wedge right as the government has officially reopened, almost to the day. With the president signing the bill, this may act as a macro green light for liquidity into year end, and BULL is positioned to potentially benefit from that.
Technically, the stock is deeply beaten down (roughly 40 percent from pre-shutdown levels), the MACD is starting to curl up, and there’s a clear daily RSI divergence. Together, these conditions make a relief move or breakout increasingly plausible.
If we don’t get a meaningful directional move between now and earnings on 11/20, then the most likely scenario is a replay of the May/June pattern: a period of sideways chop inside its current established support and resistance band zone around 9.54-10.18/10.39 while the market waits for the earnings catalyst. That report would then determine the next substantial move up or down.
In short: BULL is at a technical decision point, with momentum indicators improving, macro pressure easing, and earnings close enough that either a near-term wedge break or a consolidation-before-catalyst are both reasonable outcomes from here.
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