GOLD H1 Analysis . June 25 , 2026

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GOLD H1 Analysis

Overall bias: Bearish / Sell-side bias

The chart still shows a clear downtrend. Current price is around 3980.990, while the Pivot is 3996.003. Price is trading below Pivot, below the moving averages, and Dragon Flow shows:

Item Reading
Price 3980.990
Trend Downtrend
Pivot 3996.003
Main Plan Sell-side bias
Guardrail Avoid counter Buy

So the main plan remains sell, not buy.



Market Structure

GOLD has dropped aggressively from the upper zone around 4140–4200 and is now consolidating near the lower area around 3960–3990.

Observation Meaning
Price below Pivot Sellers still control the session
Price below moving averages Momentum remains bearish
Recent candles are small Market is consolidating after a sharp drop
Price near support Do not chase sell too late

The trend is bearish, but price is already near the lower support area. The better trade is to wait for either a pullback sell or a breakdown-retest sell.



Key Levels

Resistance

Level Meaning
3996.003 Main Pivot / first resistance
4009.029 Minor resistance
4019.557 Intraday resistance
4031–4033 Previous high / R1 zone
4078.373 R2
4115.567 R3

Main sell zone:

3996–4033

If price pulls back into this zone and rejects, that is the cleaner sell setup.



Support

Level Meaning
3960 area Previous low zone
3950.827 S1
3913.633 S2
3868.457 S3

If price breaks below 3960–3950, the next downside target is 3913.



Trading Plan

Plan A: Sell Pullback

Best setup:

Price pulls back toward:

3996–4033

Then wait for confirmation:

* Bearish rejection candle
* Long upper wick
* Bearish engulfing
* H1 closes back below 3996
* Failed breakout above Pivot

Targets:

Target Level
TP1 3960
TP2 3950.827
TP3 3913.633
TP4 3868.457

Stop-loss idea:

* Conservative SL: above 4033
* Wider SL: above 4078



Plan B: Breakdown Sell

If price breaks below 3960–3950 clearly:

1. Wait for price to retest 3950–3960
2. If price rejects that area, sell continuation is valid
3. Target 3913
4. Next target 3868

Avoid selling directly into support unless the breakout candle has strong momentum.



Buy Scenario

Buy is not the main plan.

A buy setup only becomes valid if:

1. Price reclaims 3996 Pivot
2. Holds above 4009–4019
3. Breaks above 4033 R1
4. Pullback holds above the broken resistance

If that happens, upside targets are:

* 4078
* 4115

Until then, counter-trend buy is weak.



Straight Conclusion

GOLD H1 is still bearish.

Best action:

* Do not chase sell at the low
* Wait for pullback into 3996–4033
* Sell only after rejection confirmation
* Breakdown sell is valid below 3950
* Main downside targets: 3950 → 3913 → 3868

Current view: Bearish continuation, but price is near support. Best trade is a patient sell setup, not emotional entry.

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