GOLD (XAUUSD) – 12H Timeframe | HTF Correction in Progress
Gold has delivered a strong impulsive rally, followed by a sharp corrective move after rejecting from the premium Fibonacci resistance zone. Price is now reacting at a key HTF support area, where the next major direction will be decided.
🔍 Market Structure Insight
Overall higher-timeframe trend remains bullish
Recent move is a healthy correction, not a trend reversal
Price rejected sharply from 0.236–0.382 Fibonacci zone, indicating strong profit booking
Momentum slowed after parabolic upside, leading to volatility expansion
🔴 Key Resistance / Supply Zones
5,350 – 5,450 → Strong Fibonacci resistance (0.236–0.382)
5,600 – 5,750 → Major HTF supply & trendline resistance
Bulls need acceptance above 5,350 to resume upside continuation
🔵 Major Support / Demand Zones
4,950 – 4,900 → First HTF reaction zone (current price area)
4,650 – 4,600 → 0.786 Fibonacci + strong demand
4,350 – 4,300 → Golden accumulation zone (deep retracement support)
📊 Scenario Planning
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above 4,900 and forms a base, we can expect a rebound toward:
➡️ 5,150 → 5,350 → 5,600
❌ Bearish Continuation:
A clean break and close below 4,850 will open downside toward:
➡️ 4,650 → 4,300 (strong HTF buying interest expected)
🧠 Trading Insight
This is a correction within an uptrend, not a panic sell.
Best strategy:
Avoid chasing volatility
Focus on HTF demand reactions
Trade confirmation, not emotions
⚠️ High volatility environment – risk management is critical
📌 Not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Gold has delivered a strong impulsive rally, followed by a sharp corrective move after rejecting from the premium Fibonacci resistance zone. Price is now reacting at a key HTF support area, where the next major direction will be decided.
🔍 Market Structure Insight
Overall higher-timeframe trend remains bullish
Recent move is a healthy correction, not a trend reversal
Price rejected sharply from 0.236–0.382 Fibonacci zone, indicating strong profit booking
Momentum slowed after parabolic upside, leading to volatility expansion
🔴 Key Resistance / Supply Zones
5,350 – 5,450 → Strong Fibonacci resistance (0.236–0.382)
5,600 – 5,750 → Major HTF supply & trendline resistance
Bulls need acceptance above 5,350 to resume upside continuation
🔵 Major Support / Demand Zones
4,950 – 4,900 → First HTF reaction zone (current price area)
4,650 – 4,600 → 0.786 Fibonacci + strong demand
4,350 – 4,300 → Golden accumulation zone (deep retracement support)
📊 Scenario Planning
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above 4,900 and forms a base, we can expect a rebound toward:
➡️ 5,150 → 5,350 → 5,600
❌ Bearish Continuation:
A clean break and close below 4,850 will open downside toward:
➡️ 4,650 → 4,300 (strong HTF buying interest expected)
🧠 Trading Insight
This is a correction within an uptrend, not a panic sell.
Best strategy:
Avoid chasing volatility
Focus on HTF demand reactions
Trade confirmation, not emotions
⚠️ High volatility environment – risk management is critical
📌 Not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Rehan Khanani - (CIMA, CICA, CFrA, CPA, MBA)
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Rehan Khanani - (CIMA, CICA, CFrA, CPA, MBA)
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供,也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。
