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Swing Trading (D1 / H4) – Trend Following + Mean Rever

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📈 Swing Trading Strategy (D1 / H4) MBG

Trend Following with Controlled Pullback Entries

🧠 Core Concept

This strategy is designed to trade in alignment with the dominant uptrend, entering positions after a healthy pullback toward fair value.
The goal is to capture the next impulsive leg of the trend while keeping risk strictly predefined and asymmetric.

⏱ Timeframes

Primary: Daily (D1)

Confirmation / Timing: H4

🔧 Indicators Used

EMA 20 / EMA 50 / EMA 200 – trend structure and dynamic support

Weekly VWAP – fair value / institutional reference

RSI (14) – trend strength and momentum filter

Stochastic RSI (14,14,3,3) – entry timing

OBV – volume confirmation (accumulation vs distribution)

🟢 Trend Filter (Mandatory)

Only LONG positions are considered when all conditions are met:

Price is above EMA 200

EMA 20 is above EMA 50

Market structure shows higher lows

RSI (14) holds below 50

➡️ If any of these conditions fail, no trade is taken.

🎯 Entry Conditions (BUY)

A long position is considered after a pullback when:

Price retraces toward EMA 20 / EMA 50 or Weekly VWAP

Stochastic RSI resets from overbought and turns upward

RSI (14) remains below 50 (trend intact)

OBV does not make new lows, indicating no distribution

➡️ Entries are taken after bullish reaction, not blindly at levels.

🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management – Important Note)

Primary SL is placed below the local pullback low

Structurally, SL remains below EMA 200 or key support

🎯 Take Profit Logic

TP1: Previous local high / resistance

TP2: Trend continuation target (approx. 1.5–2R)

If price fails to move as expected within two weeks, the position is manually closed

📐 Position Management

No averaging down

No re-entry without a new pullback structure

Trades are taken only when R:R ≥ 2:1

🚫 What This Strategy Avoids

Choppy ranges and low-volatility consolidation

Counter-trend trades

Buying below EMA 200

Indicator-only decisions without structure

🧩 Strategy Profile

Swing trading (several days up to ~2 weeks)

Low trade frequency

High selectivity

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