Clean green candle.
QQQ closed 721.45, up 0.63%, finishing at 96% of its range — right at the high. Volume 48.48M against a 30.63M average.
Yesterday's bar left an open question: was that heavy-volume narrow candle absorption or distribution? Today answered it. Price held the reclaim and closed at the top of its range. Supply got absorbed.
One caveat on the volume, and it matters
Friday was quarterly options expiration — triple witching. That inflates volume mechanically, regardless of what anyone believes about direction. So 158% relative volume isn't 158% more conviction.
Monday's volume is the real read. The honest signal in today's bar is the close at 96% of the range, not the size of the volume bar underneath it.
Where price actually stopped
High of the day was 721.73. The swing high from Sep 8 and Sep 11 is 721.89.
Price stopped sixteen cents short and closed below it. The swing high hasn't been taken.
Worth being precise here — there are now two levels stacked within three points overhead: 721.89, then 724.20. This zone has rejected price twice already in September.
What the range still says
QQQ has been chopping between roughly 686 and 748 since July, and between 700 and 724 for the last three weeks. Price is at the top of that range, not through it.
724.20 is the level that ends it. Until a close clears it, this is the high side of a range, not a breakout. 730 only becomes live after that.
Levels
Above: 721.89 is the swing high and the first real test. 724.20 ends the range. A close through it on volume above 31M is the trigger — and that needs to show up on a normal session, not an expiration day.
Below: 715.08 is Friday's low and first support. The ripster47 EMA clouds sit at 712-714, and a close below kills the reclaim.
The setup is constructive. The level is right above. Let Monday show whether the buyers were real or whether Friday was just expiry flow.
QQQ
QQQ, Nasdaq100, Absorption, VolumeSpreadAnalysis, KeyLevels, TripleWitching, PriceAction, TechnicalAnalysis
Yesterday's bar left an open question: was that heavy-volume narrow candle absorption or distribution? Today answered it. Price held the reclaim and closed at the top of its range. Supply got absorbed.
One caveat on the volume, and it matters
Friday was quarterly options expiration — triple witching. That inflates volume mechanically, regardless of what anyone believes about direction. So 158% relative volume isn't 158% more conviction.
Monday's volume is the real read. The honest signal in today's bar is the close at 96% of the range, not the size of the volume bar underneath it.
Where price actually stopped
High of the day was 721.73. The swing high from Sep 8 and Sep 11 is 721.89.
Price stopped sixteen cents short and closed below it. The swing high hasn't been taken.
Worth being precise here — there are now two levels stacked within three points overhead: 721.89, then 724.20. This zone has rejected price twice already in September.
What the range still says
724.20 is the level that ends it. Until a close clears it, this is the high side of a range, not a breakout. 730 only becomes live after that.
Levels
Above: 721.89 is the swing high and the first real test. 724.20 ends the range. A close through it on volume above 31M is the trigger — and that needs to show up on a normal session, not an expiration day.
Below: 715.08 is Friday's low and first support. The ripster47 EMA clouds sit at 712-714, and a close below kills the reclaim.
The setup is constructive. The level is right above. Let Monday show whether the buyers were real or whether Friday was just expiry flow.
QQQ, Nasdaq100, Absorption, VolumeSpreadAnalysis, KeyLevels, TripleWitching, PriceAction, TechnicalAnalysis
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