RIG is pressing against a long-term descending trendline on the monthly chart, in place since the 2008 peak.
This is a structural level, not minor resistance.
Since the 2020 capitulation low, price has been forming higher lows, suggesting base development. Now we are seeing compression directly beneath macro resistance — a setup that often precedes expansion.
If price pulls back constructively, I would look to accumulate in the $5.00 – $5.60 zone, with invalidation below $4.60.
At this stage, RIG is either about to be rejected once again by secular resistance — or beginning a higher timeframe transition.
This is a structural setup, not a short-term trade.
This is a structural level, not minor resistance.
Since the 2020 capitulation low, price has been forming higher lows, suggesting base development. Now we are seeing compression directly beneath macro resistance — a setup that often precedes expansion.
If price pulls back constructively, I would look to accumulate in the $5.00 – $5.60 zone, with invalidation below $4.60.
At this stage, RIG is either about to be rejected once again by secular resistance — or beginning a higher timeframe transition.
This is a structural setup, not a short-term trade.
交易進行
Update – Post Q4 ResultsTransocean Ltd. closed 2025 with solid operational momentum:
FY Revenue +13%
Adjusted EBITDA $1.37B (+19%)
Free Cash Flow $626M
Debt reduced by $1.26B
Backlog at $6.1B
The large net loss was driven by non-cash impairments. Operationally, the recovery remains intact.
Technically, price is still compressing beneath long-term trendline resistance. No confirmed breakout, but no structural rejection either.
As long as the $5.00–$5.60 zone holds on pullbacks, the higher timeframe setup remains valid.
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