Setup:
RUM weekly, up 8.21% this week to $6.72, bouncing off a support zone that's held multiple times going back to 2023. Q2 earnings just landed this week and the stock is already following trough.
Why the fundamentals support this:
✅ Record revenue: $40.4M, up 61% YOY, beating the $34.93M consensus
✅ Rumble's core video business aline hit a record 30.3M, up 21% YoY, not just the acquisition inflating revenue
✅ Q3 guidance just issued for the first time: $87-93M, against a street estimate of 65.2M
✅ Quake Ai's 22.000 Nvidia GPU's running at 85% utilization, plus a new multi-year Together AI agreement
✅ Institutional ownership has nearly doubled over the past year, real sustained accumulation, not a single speculative bet
✅ CEO explicitly declared AI infrastructure transformation "complete" on the call
Bias: Long.
Support zone holding, first target $8.50, second target $10.40
Invalidated on a close back below the support zone.
Timeframe:
Multi-week swing, this is a fundamentals-catching up story following a real earnings beat.
RUM weekly, up 8.21% this week to $6.72, bouncing off a support zone that's held multiple times going back to 2023. Q2 earnings just landed this week and the stock is already following trough.
Why the fundamentals support this:
✅ Record revenue: $40.4M, up 61% YOY, beating the $34.93M consensus
✅ Rumble's core video business aline hit a record 30.3M, up 21% YoY, not just the acquisition inflating revenue
✅ Q3 guidance just issued for the first time: $87-93M, against a street estimate of 65.2M
✅ Quake Ai's 22.000 Nvidia GPU's running at 85% utilization, plus a new multi-year Together AI agreement
✅ Institutional ownership has nearly doubled over the past year, real sustained accumulation, not a single speculative bet
✅ CEO explicitly declared AI infrastructure transformation "complete" on the call
Bias: Long.
Support zone holding, first target $8.50, second target $10.40
Invalidated on a close back below the support zone.
Timeframe:
Multi-week swing, this is a fundamentals-catching up story following a real earnings beat.
交易進行
RUM smashed the first target already, it's been flying after it reported earnings recently 交易結束：目標達成
RUM: Both Targets Hit. What Changes Now.Update:
Target 1 at $8.50 and Target 2 at $10.40 have both been reached. The setup called from the support zone has played out in full, roughly a 72% move in under a month.
What drove it:
Q2 revenue came in at $40.4M, up 61% year over year and 58% sequentially. The Northern Data acquisition and the formation of Quake AI turned a video platform into an AI compute provider, with 22,000 NVIDIA H100s and H200s running at over 85% utilisation. Q3 guidance of $87-93M would more than double the business again.
Then on August 24, the company announced a six-year, $13.7 billion GPU services agreement with a US cloud customer at its Maysville, Georgia site.
What that means for the setup:
The re-rating is largely done. This traded as a video platform three months ago and trades as AI infrastructure today. That gap has closed, and it was the entire reason the original setup worked.
Everything from here has to come from execution rather than repricing. Two specific things:
Q3 needs to deliver the guided $87-93M. This is the first guidance the company has ever issued, so there is no track record of them hitting their own numbers.
And the Maysville site has to get built. That $13.7B contract is contingent on a facility that does not exist yet, with the final third dependent on the customer approving the delivery date. The customer also received a warrant for 50.8 million shares at one cent, which dilutes existing holders as it vests.
Position:
Targets met, thesis delivered. I am no longer treating this as the same setup. A new one would need a new level and a new reason.
Watching $8.50 as the first meaningful support on any pullback, since that was resistance four separate times before it broke.
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供，也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。