Rate cuts start this Wednesday, September17th, 2025.
Polymarket odds are now strongly in favor of 3 rate cuts in 2025. CME Fedwatch probability is now at 70% for 3 cuts by December 10th.
Economic data, especially employment, has strongly confirmed the start of a full rate-cutting cycle beginning in 1.5 days.
Historically this set of circumstance has coincided with large or even historic bond rallies.
Will this time be different?
Polymarket odds are now strongly in favor of 3 rate cuts in 2025. CME Fedwatch probability is now at 70% for 3 cuts by December 10th.
Economic data, especially employment, has strongly confirmed the start of a full rate-cutting cycle beginning in 1.5 days.
Historically this set of circumstance has coincided with large or even historic bond rallies.
Will this time be different?
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