US03M chart before another plunge. The chart shows the forward rate curve for US 3-month government bonds. I've analyzed this curve many times. It can be seen that the chart makes small movements. Furthermore, it can be seen that the anti-movement ATRs (white rectangle) have a strong pressure on the exchange rate. In the event that the exchange rate falls out of this narrow-band siding, another sharp drop would occur. What it means. That the three-month forward dollar rates are coming under pressure again. The market expects another interest rate cut. This could lead to a weakening of the dollar. I note that forward rates on 2-year and 10-year government bonds are already falling. They are around 1.3%. Which tells me that maybe not in the short term, in the next 2-3 years the market can expect another dollar cut in interest rates.
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