The 10-year yield has been moving inside a large triangle structure, and price recently pushed back above the 4.3% area.
Now the key zone I’m watching is around 4.55%–4.60%.
If US10Y breaks above this area, it could put more pressure on risk assets like stocks and crypto.
If it gets rejected here and falls back below 4.3%, that could be more supportive for risk assets in the short term.
Simple view:
Break above 4.6% = risk-off pressure may increase
Reject from here = risk assets may get some relief
For now, I’m watching how the yield reacts around this resistance.
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