美元 / 瑞士法郎
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USDCHF: impulse completed, corrective wave in progress

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USDCHF remains under pressure amid demand for safe-haven currencies and expectations of a softer Fed stance. The Swiss franc continues to attract defensive flows, keeping the broader bias bearish. The current price action reflects liquidity redistribution after a strong downside impulse.

From a technical and Elliott Wave perspective, the market has completed a bearish impulse wave (3), sweeping liquidity below local lows. The current consolidation near the weak low suggests the development of a corrective wave (4). The primary scenario expects a corrective rebound toward the 0.8065 – 0.8380 supply zone, aligned with prior structure and EMA resistance. Once wave (4) is complete, a continuation lower in wave (5) is expected. A deeper correction is possible, but the bearish structure remains intact below 0.84–0.85.

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