Russian rubble had a strong correction
to 68.25, but after that, formed the pattern
triangle with T2 and T3 trendlines (1,2,3,4
points). You can find expected movement
with green lines. In my opinion RUB will
stabilize a bit on christmas holidays, but
after, will decline up to 84.00, if CBR will
not take strong actions. Anyway CBR cann't
change the trend direction, but just hold
motivate the market for several months.
For long term strategy, fundamental changes
must be made in fiscal policy and in the
economy itself. If pandemic wil end in
December, this fact will not help currency,
there are other fundamental reasons why RUB
is declining
to 68.25, but after that, formed the pattern
triangle with T2 and T3 trendlines (1,2,3,4
points). You can find expected movement
with green lines. In my opinion RUB will
stabilize a bit on christmas holidays, but
after, will decline up to 84.00, if CBR will
not take strong actions. Anyway CBR cann't
change the trend direction, but just hold
motivate the market for several months.
For long term strategy, fundamental changes
must be made in fiscal policy and in the
economy itself. If pandemic wil end in
December, this fact will not help currency,
there are other fundamental reasons why RUB
is declining
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