US Oil – 4H Elliott Wave Update

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Two valid scenarios remain on the table.

The aggressive view suggests that an initial five-wave impulse has already formed from the 54.877 low. If correct, the current decline is likely Wave (2), developing as an Expanded Flat correction. Wave C appears to be approaching completion through its final subdivisions, potentially setting the stage for a strong bullish reaction. Under this scenario, reaching the first target zone and at least matching the length of Wave (1) would be a reasonable expectation.

The conservative view remains aligned with the larger bearish structure discussed in the daily analysis. In this case, the current region may still develop into a broader corrective pattern before the market attempts another decline. A break below 54.877 and even a move toward significantly lower prices cannot be ruled out.

At this stage, the structure matters more than the forecast.

The key question is whether the current decline completes as a corrective pattern or evolves into a larger impulsive move. The answer will likely determine the next major direction for crude oil.

As always, this is an Elliott Wave research study, not financial advice.

– Patterns whisper. I listen. – Mr. Nobody 🎧📊

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