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Precious Metals | Structural Bull Case Intact After Speculative

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PRECIOUS METALS | Structural Bull Case Intact Despite Speculative Unwind

The longer-term structural case for precious metals remains intact, even after the sharp pullback from record highs. Gold and silver retreated following President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, which reduced expectations for aggressive monetary easing and triggered a speculative unwind.

Current price levels are now sitting just above zones typically associated with pure uncertainty hedging, suggesting that much of the speculative excess has already been flushed out. While this leaves metals vulnerable to positioning-driven pullbacks if macro sentiment turns decisively risk-off, the broader structural backdrop still allows room for a modest near-term recovery.

Technical Outlook
Price is currently consolidating between 80.13 and 85.40, awaiting a directional break.

A 15min or 1H candle close below 80.13 would confirm bearish continuation toward 76.89, followed by 71.38 and potentially 66.70.

On the upside, a break and hold above 85.40 would support a recovery toward 87.81, with further upside toward 91.00.

Key Levels
• Pivot: 80.13
• Support: 76.89 – 71.38 – 66.70
• Resistance: 85.40 – 87.81 – 91.00

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