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Silver (XAGUSD) — D1 Formation of a Potential Wave 3

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Silver (XAGUSD) — D1 Formation of a Potential Wave 3 + Trendline Break (Bullish Continuation)

🔎 Market Structure (D1)

On the daily timeframe, Silver is forming the technical conditions for the development of Wave 3 to the upside, confirmed by:

a breakout above the corrective trendline (trendline break)

completion of the corrective phase (Wave 2) with a compression structure

rebound from a local support zone after the pullback

recovery of bullish structure after the impulse base was formed

The current price action fits a classic Elliott Wave continuation model, where Wave 3 starts after price exits the corrective structure and resumes the dominant trend.

📐 Elliott Wave Context

Wave 1: initial impulsive move up

Wave 2: corrective pullback / consolidation within structure

Wave 3: expected impulsive expansion higher (current scenario)

📌 Key principle:
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the invalidation level (below).

📍 Entry

Entry: 78.55194

The entry is positioned:

after the trendline breakout (structure shift confirmation)

in the impulse activation zone following Wave 2 completion

aligned with continuation momentum rather than chasing the top

🎯 Target Levels (Wave 3 Projections)

Targets are derived from projected impulse expansion zones and key reaction levels:

TP1: 90.74343

TP2: 100.16412

TP3: 108.64274

TP4: 122.36796

Each target acts as a potential reaction area and a logical level for partial profit-taking as Wave 3 progresses.

🛑 Invalidation / Stop Loss

Stop Loss: 72.01287

📍 The stop is placed below the key structural low (base of the prior leg), which:

invalidates the Wave 3 bullish continuation if breached

signals a deeper corrective structure or trend failure

follows Elliott Wave risk management by protecting against a full structure shift

🧠 Risk & Trade Management

Trend-following setup
Wave 3 is typically the strongest wave, but volatility can increase.

Recommended approach:

partial profits at TP1 / TP2

move stop to breakeven after a clean impulsive continuation is confirmed

consider scaling only on pullbacks (intrawave retracements) within Wave 3

if price falls back under the broken trendline and holds, reassess the bullish scenario

📌 Summary

XAGUSD on D1 shows a corrective trendline breakout and signs of Wave 2 completion, supporting a potential Wave 3 continuation to the upside.
The bullish scenario remains valid above 72.01287, with upside targets at 90.74343 → 100.16412 → 108.64274 → 122.36796.

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