This chart outlines the high-probability scenario for Gold (XAUUSD) in the coming week:
Primary Scenario (Script-1, ~75% probability)
Gold is likely to find support around Buy Zone 1 (3360–3350).
From there, it may rebound to test Sell Zone 1 (3400–3410).
Strong resistance is expected at that zone, leading to a potential pullback.
This matches both the options positioning (max OI at 3350–3400) and the COT data showing weaker longs, suggesting a range-bound market.
Alternative Scenario (Script-2, ~25% probability)
If the 3350 support fails, price could extend lower toward Buy Zone 2 (3300–3310).
This is a more bearish path but less likely compared to the primary scenario.
🔎 Conclusion: Gold is expected to remain range-bound between 3350–3400, with alternating bull and bear pressure. Trend continuation trades may be difficult, and range-trading strategies could perform better.
Primary Scenario (Script-1, ~75% probability)
Gold is likely to find support around Buy Zone 1 (3360–3350).
From there, it may rebound to test Sell Zone 1 (3400–3410).
Strong resistance is expected at that zone, leading to a potential pullback.
This matches both the options positioning (max OI at 3350–3400) and the COT data showing weaker longs, suggesting a range-bound market.
Alternative Scenario (Script-2, ~25% probability)
If the 3350 support fails, price could extend lower toward Buy Zone 2 (3300–3310).
This is a more bearish path but less likely compared to the primary scenario.
🔎 Conclusion: Gold is expected to remain range-bound between 3350–3400, with alternating bull and bear pressure. Trend continuation trades may be difficult, and range-trading strategies could perform better.
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