Moving Averages
Molina Healthcare | MOH | Long at $181.69Healthcare providers and services are at a major discount right now: and may be discounted even more this year. I am personally buying and long-term holding the fear, knowing the baby boom generation is going to utilize our healthcare system at a rate unseen in modern times. While the price discounts are valid "right now" given the current political administration's cuts, long-term it is far from valid... The strategy I am using with healthcare stocks ( NYSE:MOH , NYSE:CNC , NYSE:UNH , NYSE:ELV , etc) is cost averaging: not buying one single large position in an effort to predict bottom but buying smaller positions over time to create a cost average "near" bottom. If you are a day trader or want a quick swing in healthcare, I don't think it's going to happen for a bit. But those not entering in the coming months / year will likely miss out on a very large healthcare boom - especially when AI truly enters the picture in this sector...
Fundamentally, Molina Healthcare NYSE:MOH is a very strong company. Low debt-to-equity (.9x), P/E of 8.8x, quick ratio of 1.7x, $41 billion in revenue in 2024. Yes, there will be issues in the near-term due to Medicaid and other funding cuts. But long-term, this sector is primed to benefit from an aging population.
So, while NYSE:MOH is in a personal buy zone at $181.69, I don't think this is necessarily bottom. I anticipate this stock to drop even further, eventually closing the daily price gap at $135.00. My next buys are in the $150's and $130's, thus cost averaging into a larger position. For true value investors, those prices and anything below is a steal. Today's negative healthcare sector noise is loud, but it does not represent the future.
Targets into 2028:
$226.00 (+24.3%)
$290.00 (+59.6%)
$PNFP - Big Cup and Handle and 50 SMA Breakout💡 Swing setup idea
Bullish breakout
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock crossed above the 50 SMA, closing a big cup and handle pattern. Buyers' volume is stepping in, showing strong momentum supporting the move.
🔔 Friendly reminder: The broader market is currently trending down, so please keep market weakness in mind before entering any new trades.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $101.41
Target: $121.58
Stop: Under the breakout level
💬 What do you think of this setup? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Good luck!
⚠️ Note: This is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
$OMF - Double Bottom and 50 SMA Breakout💡 Swing setup idea
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock crossed above the 50 SMA and closed a double bottom pattern. We are seeing growing, above-average buyers' volume stepping in to support the move.
🔔 Friendly reminder: The broader market is currently trending down, so please keep market weakness in mind before entering any new trades.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $60.45
Target: $71.68
Stop: Under the breakout level
💬 What do you think of this setup? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Good luck!
⚠️ Note: This is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
Gold (XAUUSD): Institutional Order-Flow Shifts BearishExecutive Summary
Gold has completed a textbook macro distribution phase on the Daily (1D) timeframe. The most significant structural development is the clean breakdown and confirmation below the dynamic 200 EMA. This shift in the macro regime has opened the door for a multi-wave markdown sequence. By mapping the current nested structures, we can identify two primary bearish paths along with the exact invalidation points that define this macro short thesis.
Market Structure & Order-Flow Analysis
As shown, the market is respecting a series of lower highs and lower lows. Institutional supply is consistently overriding demand at key structural inflections. We are currently tracking two nested bearish sequences: the primary macro wave (1D Minor 1 / blue path) and the immediate acceleration wave (1D Minor 2 / pink path). Previous structural demand levels are systematically flipping into active supply zones.
The Bearish Scenarios
Scenario A: Immediate Acceleration (The Pink Path)
Mechanics: Price has recently rallied into Retrac. Zone M2 (pink dashed box near $4,200) and faced immediate institutional rejection. Under this scenario, order-flow momentum remains highly aggressive, and sellers will press the market lower without requiring a deeper relief rally.
Target: A direct continuation toward the 1D Minor 2 Target Box around the $3,600 liquidity pool.
Scenario B: Deep Corrective Test (The Blue Path)
Mechanics: Should the market experience short-term short-covering or a temporary liquidity hunt, price is expected to gravitate toward the higher supply cluster at Retracement Zone Minor 1 (blue dashed box between $4,400 - $4,600). This zone is highly significant as it confluences directly with the retest of the broken 200 EMA from underneath.
Target: A heavy rejection from this macro supply zone will validate the larger extension down toward the major 1D Minor 1 Target Box near the $3,000 psychological milestone.
Structural Invalidation Levels
To trade this setup safely, we must let the market structure dictate our risk parameters.
1. Immediate Bias Invalidation (M2 Failure)
Level: A sustained Daily candle close above $4,400.
Impact: This invalidates the immediate direct markdown thesis (pink line). It signals that a more complex, deeper corrective rally toward Retracement Zone Minor 1 is underway before the next structural leg down can materialize.
2. Macro Thesis Invalidation (The "C-Point" Break)
Level: A Daily candle close above the C-Point High at $4,900.
Impact: This is the absolute macro invalidation for the entire bearish sequence. Breaking above this specific C-Point completely violates the structural rule of lower highs. Reclaiming this level forces a complete Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the upside, invalidating the markdown phase and exposing the entire downside breakdown as a massive institutional liquidity trap.
Trading Metrics to Watch
Primary Bias: Bearish below $4,600 / Structurally Dead above $4,900.
Key Support-Turned-Resistance: The 200 EMA line.
Volume Profile: Look for volume expanding on down-days to confirm institutional participation in the markdown phase.
Disclaimer
Financial Trading Disclaimer: The analysis, chart structures, and price levels presented in this idea are for educational, informational, and research purposes only. This content does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
What path are you taking here? Are you selling the immediate M2 rejection, or waiting for a deeper retest at the 200 EMA? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
XLE Major Holdings Test 200 MA Simultaneously – High ConfluencesFour of the largest holdings in AMEX:XLE — NYSE:OXY , NYSE:XOM , NYSE:COP , and NYSE:CVX are all approaching or testing their 200-day Moving Average at the same time. This is a rare sector-wide confluence at a major long-term support level.
Key Observations:
• All four names are showing similar price action near the 200 MA.
• Volume has been relatively average on the pullback (no major capitulation yet).
• Energy sector has been strong YTD, making this a high-conviction support zone to watch.
Recommended Trades:
Bullish Setup (Bounce Play):
• Entry: On a strong daily close back above the 200 MA with increasing volume.
• Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low or the 200 MA (whichever is tighter).
• Targets:
• First target: Previous highs / 50-day MA
• Second target: Measured move from the recent decline
• Best for: NYSE:XOM and NYSE:CVX (strongest balance sheets)
Aggressive Setup:
• Scale in on dips toward the 200 MA in NYSE:COP and NYSE:OXY (they’ve pulled back the hardest).
• Use options (slightly OTM calls, 30–45 DTE) for better risk/reward if the bounce materializes.
Bearish Setup (Breakdown Play):
• If any of these names (especially NYSE:COP or NYSE:OXY ) close decisively below the 200 MA with volume, it could signal deeper sector weakness.
• In that case, consider shorting or buying puts on a retest of the 200 MA.
This is a high-conviction moment for the energy sector. The simultaneous test of long-term support across multiple major holdings is worth watching closely.
#XLE #EnergyStocks #200MA #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup
XLE Major Holdings Test 200 MA Simultaneously – High ConfluencesFour of the largest holdings in AMEX:XLE — NYSE:OXY , NYSE:XOM , NYSE:COP , and NYSE:CVX are all approaching or testing their 200-day Moving Average at the same time. This is a rare sector-wide confluence at a major long-term support level.
Key Observations:
• All four names are showing similar price action near the 200 MA.
• Volume has been relatively average on the pullback (no major capitulation yet).
• Energy sector has been strong YTD, making this a high-conviction support zone to watch.
Recommended Trades:
Bullish Setup (Bounce Play):
• Entry: On a strong daily close back above the 200 MA with increasing volume.
• Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low or the 200 MA (whichever is tighter).
• Targets:
• First target: Previous highs / 50-day MA
• Second target: Measured move from the recent decline
• Best for: NYSE:XOM and NYSE:CVX (strongest balance sheets)
Aggressive Setup:
• Scale in on dips toward the 200 MA in NYSE:COP and NYSE:OXY (they’ve pulled back the hardest).
• Use options (slightly OTM calls, 30–45 DTE) for better risk/reward if the bounce materializes.
Bearish Setup (Breakdown Play):
• If any of these names (especially NYSE:COP or NYSE:OXY ) close decisively below the 200 MA with volume, it could signal deeper sector weakness.
• In that case, consider shorting or buying puts on a retest of the 200 MA.
This is a high-conviction moment for the energy sector. The simultaneous test of long-term support across multiple major holdings is worth watching closely.
#XLE #EnergyStocks #200MA #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup
$MSTR Worst Weekly Close In Recorded History + Bottom SignalsTHE TICKER FORMERLY KNOWN AS MICROSTRATEGY HAS ONE OF ITS WORST WEEKLY CLOSES IN RECORDED HISTORY.
The volume and velocity of the selloff is something to be studied for years to come.
Note NASDAQ:MSTR corrected ~90% last cycle. A similar correction this cycle would put price ~$55.
We have still yet to see the 200/50W MA Death Cross which should occur in the next couple months, fueled by another strong leg down.
HOPIUM:
Chart printed the first B13 on TD Sequential since 2018. This signals the bottom in price is near, but not necessarily timing-wise.
RSI is close to cycle lows.
Next POI is $70-75, but if that does not hold, $55-60 should mark the floor.
I personally have bids in here.
🔖 Bookmark this to check back and see how I did.
eBay Pulls Back Following SurgeeBay rallied to new record highs in April and May. Now some traders may see an opportunity as the e-commerce stock pulls back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the 2025 high of $101.15. EBAY passed through that resistance and has stayed above it, which may be consistent with the initial stages of a breakout.
Second is the May 6 low of $104.60. Prices have remained above that level, including a bounce this week. Is new support in place above old peaks?
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That alignment, with faster SMAs above slower ones, could suggest that a longer-term uptrend has begun.
Finally, the news flow has grown interesting. Earnings and revenue beat estimates on April 29. GameStop made an unsolicited takeover offer on May 4 (which was rejected). Consumer trends have also shown signs of improvement, highlighted by today’s upward revision in consumer sentiment.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Vertex Inc | VERX | Long at $11.25TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The price for Vertex Inc NASDAQ:VERX touched my selected "crash" simple moving average area (green lines) a few days ago at $10.21. This could be an area of support given it's a newer play, but there is 50/50 risk of further decline into the bottom half of the channel (near $5). Thus, starter position only at $11.25.
INSIDERS
Recent buying between $12-$15: openinsider.com
GROWTH
High growth through 2029 .
FUNDAMENTALS
Have a look .
ACTION
Starter position at $11.25 with risk for further declines near $5.
TARGETS INTO 2029
$13.50 (+20.0%)
$18.00 (+60.0%)
If you enjoyed this idea, please consider following for more: www.tradingview.com
$LUV - 50 SMA Breakout on Growing Volume💡 Swing setup idea
The 50SMA strategy
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock recently broke above key resistance and successfully pushed above the 50 SMA.
Growing buyers volume is stepping in, showing strong momentum behind the move.
🔔 Sector note: There is a recent upward move across the airlines sector as gas prices go down, giving this setup a nice tailwind.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $43.90
Target: $52.07
Stop: Under the breakout level
💬 What do you think of this setup? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Good luck!
⚠️ Note: This is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
HANGSENG LONG — 6H (WR 86%)Hang Seng 6H ALMA long adds filled on the 2026-06-05 cluster (~24,665–25,064). Averaging into a regional correction, not a breakout chase.
Positive factors
- Strong HANGSENG WR/PF in strategy database
- Multiple 6H/12H ENTRY same session — internal confluence
- ALMA averaging built for drawdown entries
Negative factors
- Asia risk-off can overshoot before exit
- Several 6H legs still ~flat to −1.5% MTM
- Bounce can fail; −10% hard stop per leg still active
XAUUSD — EMA Downtrend, Waiting for a Value Pullback
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under bearish pressure as price continues to trade below the main EMA structure. Traders are still watching USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data.
For now, any short-term recovery should be treated as a technical pullback unless price can reclaim the EMA resistance zone with strong confirmation.
Technical Analysis
On the 2H chart, XAUUSD is still trading below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. This confirms that the main trend remains bearish, with the EMA structure acting as dynamic resistance above price.
Price is currently around 4,003 after rejecting from the previous recovery area. The chart shows that gold may create a small corrective bounce toward the EMA value zone before continuing lower.
The first sell reaction area is around 4,045 - 4,060. A deeper pullback may reach the stronger sell swing zone around 4,078 - 4,088. If price rejects from these areas, sellers may continue to control the structure.
The main downside target is the psychological liquidity zone around 3,936 - 3,935.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,003
EMA value zone: 4,045 - 4,060
Sell scalping zone: 4,059 - 4,078
Sell swing zone: 4,078 - 4,088
EMA resistance area: 4,044 - 4,126
Invalidation area: above 4,116 - 4,126
Main downside target: 3,936 - 3,935
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,059 - 4,088
Stop Loss: 4,126
Take Profit 1: 4,003
Take Profit 2: 3,960
Take Profit 3: 3,936 - 3,935
Sell Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to correct higher into the 4,059 - 4,088 value zone. This area aligns with the EMA reaction zone, Fibonacci structure, and previous sell pressure.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from this zone, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high below the EMA structure.
If price rejects from the sell zone and breaks back below 4,003, the bearish continuation view becomes stronger. The next downside focus would be 3,960, followed by the psychological liquidity target around 3,936 - 3,935.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to pull back into 4,059 - 4,088.
Look for bearish rejection before entering sell.
Do not sell aggressively at the low without a pullback.
A break below 4,003 confirms stronger downside pressure.
If price breaks and holds above 4,126, the sell setup is invalid.
Overall, the main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. Gold may create a light corrective bounce first, but the preferred plan is to wait for a reaction from the EMA value zone before looking for continuation toward 3,936 - 3,935.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for a cleaner pullback into the EMA value zone first?
$GOLD Back to $4k!! Death Cross Next to $3,600TVC:GOLD BACK TO $4k ‼️
Exactly what I predicted 1-month ago 🤓
There doesn’t appear to be much interest at this level as we’ve failed to see a volume breakout.
Note there is slight bullish divergence, but it’s not meaningful without a strong reaction from PA.
First step will be to reclaim the 9EMA.
There is a bullish wedge pattern that allows for further downside to $3,900 which lines up with prior support.
The 50/200 DMA Death Cross should occur within the next week which will be fueled by one final leg down.
My bias is leaning towards further downside to retest support at the 50% Gann level ~$3,600
I personally have my bids in here.
🔖 Bookmark this to see how I did with this f/u call
$HAYW - 50 SMA Breakout and Double Bottom Pattern💡 Swing setup idea
50 SMA breakout / Double bottom completion
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock crossed above the 50 SMA and is closing a double bottom pattern. We are also seeing buyers volume stepping in to support the move.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $16.36
Target: $19.62
Stop: Under the breakout level
💬 What do you think of this setup? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Good luck!
⚠️ Note: This is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
Airbnb’s Silent BreakoutAirbnb has gone nowhere for years, but now it could be breaking out.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the long-term peak around $144 from June 2025. The short-term rental stock pulled back after challenging that resistance in April and May. It returned to the zone yesterday, establishing a new 52-week high in the process.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may suggest a longer-term uptrend is taking shape.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals could reflect short-term bullishness.
Finally, airline and hotel companies have recently climbed to new highs. With fuel prices falling, is sentiment shifting in favor of travel stocks?
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year!
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
$DHR - 50 SMA Breakout and Cup and Handle Pattern💡 Swing setup idea
50 SMA breakout / Cup and handle formation
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock crossed above the 50 SMA and is currently forming a cup and handle pattern. We are also seeing rising, above-average buyers volume supporting the move.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $189.21
Target: $217.42
Stop: Under the breakout level
Friendly reminder: Always keep an eye on the broader market conditions and overall trend, as they can heavily influence individual stock setups!
💬 What do you think of this setup? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Good luck!
⚠️ Note: This is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
IBM bullish reversal tradeIBM ema ribbons are bullish and stochastic rsi is printing a bullish reversal.
IBM 1:4 trade idea:
Long: 264
Stop: 242
TP1: 287
TP2: 309
TP3: 332
Final Profit: 355
IBM (IBM) unveiled what it called the world's first sub-1 nanometer, or nm, chip technology, featuring a revolutionary transistor architecture at the 0.7 nm, or 7 angstrom, node.
The U.S. tech giant said the achievement marks a landmark moment for an industry facing the physical limits of traditional chip scaling. The new sub-1 nm chip packs nearly 100B transistors onto a chip the size of a fingernail, nearly twice the density of IBM's 2 nm chip, unveiled in 2021.
IBM noted that the new sub-1 nm chips are 70% more efficient, or 50% more powerful, than the 2 nm node chips.
"Today’s popular AI accelerators can produce about 1,500 TOPS (or trillions of operations per second), and IBM researchers estimate one using 7 angstrom technology could deliver about seven times more, or 7,000 TOPS. If 7 angstrom chips were used to train today’s massive, frontier model LLMs, we could drastically cut training time from around three months to a couple weeks," said IBM in a separate blog post.
The company said that to produce this chip, its researchers developed an entirely new transistor architecture called nanostack, the industry's first known three-dimensional, nanosheet-based design. Nanostack represents a major advance beyond nanosheet technology, the industry's current leading-edge architecture, invented by IBM, the company noted.
Bakolia, Ravikash. "IBM Surges After Unveiling New Sub-1 Nm Chip Technology." Seeking Alpha, June 25, 2026.






















