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USDJPY (U) - Higher Time Frame Bullish OutlookThe 4H higher time frame remains bullish.
Studying price, I noticed it first took out the previous mid-term lows before engineering liquidity and delivering into the mid-term Point of Interest (orange zone). That liquidity event provided the fuel for price to trade into a higher time frame area of interest.
At the POI, price responded with a strong wick rejection rather than full acceptance, suggesting a reaction from buyers instead of sustained selling pressure.
From that reaction, price lifted off the bullish POI and began rebalancing the previous bearish inefficiency. Based on previous observations, price could still revisit the orange POI for deeper higher time frame acceptance through candle-body closes before continuing higher.
For now, I’m treating the current mid-term high and mid-term low as the operating range. As long as price remains within that range, I’m focused on observing rather than anticipating.
If bullish momentum expands and price takes out the current mid-term highs, I’ll reassess the newly engineered liquidity and identify the next objective for continuation.
Until then, patience remains the priority. Tracking structure is still the edge—I’ll let price reveal its intent before committing to the next move.
Patience is key. Track the structure, trust the process, and let price do the talking. 
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XAU/USD 06 July 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price previously did not print a bearish CHoCH and continued bullish.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I shall monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,195.510. Price may potentially print higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
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