Pivot Points
It's time to short BitcoinBitcoin has formed triple tops with divergence
There has been significant selling pressure on the upside after a huge rally from 63k to 80k over the past week.
More confirmation:
We need BTC to successfully retest the FVG/LVN around 80,134 to 80,378 before falling.
A successful retest should be followed by selling pressure or, at the very least, a lower-timeframe divergence.
If these criteria are met
Entry: ~80134
SL: ~81461
TP: All the way to 65k, while considering taking partial profits along the way.
Was that it for the crypto rally?Sentiment at extremes, everyone claiming the bottom is in, but I'll take the other side of that bet.
If we look at the chart, we have so far failed to make it over the $82k level.
If we can make it over that resistance, I'll be more constructive on price, but until then this is just another failed rally.
In my opinion, looking at the chart, we see one more drop before the bear market is over. One final capitulation event.
The reason is largely that I see confluence on multiple charts within crypto that one more leg down is needed before the bottom is in.
I've also never seen crypto bottom with stocks at all time highs. It would make sense that the final drop coincides with a drop in equities. I've also never seen crypto bottom with people longing things like fartcoin, cashcat and all the other memes that are being pushed all over X right now.
Bottoms usually have fear, and this one everyone seems to be extremely bullish. The chart + sentiment doesn't scream bottom to me.
BabyDoge Secondary Trend. Wedge. Channel. August 27, 2026Logarithm. 3-day timeframe. Memcoin, mimicry of DOGE. High-risk asset (risk management) and, accordingly, the downside—high potential profit.
Classic trading on a breakout of the descending wedge pattern, possibly in a horizontal channel. If there is a pump, it will be, as always with such assets of such liquidity, a relatively large percentage and sharp—a "pump with a stick."
The entire trend, for understanding this wedge breakout zone (if one occurs) during the next local altseason.
Liquidity Pools Explained: How Do They Actually Work?⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes
If you’ve spent any time in DeFi, you’ve probably heard the term Liquidity Pool.
But what exactly is it?
Why do people put their crypto into these pools?
How do traders use them?
And where does the liquidity provider actually make money?
Let’s break it down step by step. 👇
🔹 What Is a Liquidity Pool?
A liquidity pool is a smart-contract-based pool containing two or more crypto assets that are deposited by users.
These assets provide the liquidity needed for decentralized trading.
For example, imagine an ETH/USDC liquidity pool.
The pool might contain:
500 ETH
1,000,000 USDC
Users can trade ETH for USDC — or USDC for ETH — directly against the pool without needing a traditional buyer and seller to match their orders.
The people who deposit these assets are called Liquidity Providers (LPs).
🔹 Why Do Liquidity Pools Exist?
Traditional exchanges usually rely on an order book.
An order book matches:
Buyer → Seller
But decentralized exchanges (DEXs) can use a different model called an Automated Market Maker (AMM).
Instead of waiting for another person to place the opposite trade, users trade against the liquidity held inside the pool.
So the basic structure looks like this:
Liquidity Providers → Liquidity Pool → Traders
LPs provide the capital.
Traders use that liquidity.
The protocol's smart contract manages the trades according to its rules.
🔹 How Does an AMM Determine the Price?
One of the classic AMM models uses the formula:
x × y = k
Where:
x = amount of Token A
y = amount of Token B
k = a constant
Suppose a pool contains:
10 ETH × 20,000 USDC = 200,000
If someone buys ETH from the pool, the amount of ETH decreases.
To maintain the relationship defined by the AMM, the amount of USDC in the pool increases.
This means the price changes as trades happen.
Bigger trade → Bigger price impact
This is one reason liquidity depth matters.
A large pool can generally handle larger trades with less price impact than a very small pool, all else equal.
🔹 Where Does the Liquidity Come From?
The liquidity comes from users.
Imagine you provide:
$5,000 worth of ETH
and
$5,000 worth of USDC
to an ETH/USDC pool.
You have supplied $10,000 of liquidity.
In return, the protocol records your share of the pool.
Depending on the protocol, you may receive LP tokens or another form of position representation.
Your share allows you to participate in the pool's economics and, subject to the protocol's rules, withdraw your portion later.
🔹 How Do Liquidity Providers Earn?
The main source is usually trading fees.
Suppose traders continuously swap ETH and USDC through the pool.
Every trade may generate a fee.
A portion of those fees can be distributed to liquidity providers according to the protocol's rules.
For example:
Trader swaps:
$100,000
If the applicable trading fee is 0.30%, the fee would be:
$300
That fee doesn't automatically mean every LP receives $300.
The distribution depends on the protocol, pool design, incentives, and your share of the relevant liquidity.
So:
More trading volume + sufficient liquidity + attractive fee structure
can potentially create more fee revenue for LPs.
But this does not mean LPs are guaranteed to make money.
🔹 The Big Risk: Impermanent Loss
This is probably the most important concept to understand before providing liquidity.
Let's say you deposit:
ETH + USDC
Then ETH's market price changes significantly.
The AMM's mechanism causes the pool's asset composition to change as traders arbitrage the pool toward the market price.
You may end up holding:
Less ETH + More USDC
than you would have if you had simply held the original assets in your wallet.
The difference is commonly referred to as impermanent loss.
Why "impermanent"?
Because if the relative prices return to the appropriate original relationship before you withdraw, the difference can disappear.
But once you withdraw, the loss relative to simply holding the assets can become realized.
And if trading fees and other rewards don't compensate for that difference, providing liquidity may underperform simply holding the assets.
🔹 Simple Example
Imagine you deposit:
$5,000 ETH + $5,000 USDC
Total:
$10,000
Now imagine ETH's price increases dramatically.
Arbitrage traders interact with the pool, changing its ETH/USDC ratio.
When you later withdraw, you might receive something like:
$7,000 ETH + $7,500 USDC
Total:
$14,500
Sounds great, right?
But here's the important comparison:
If you had simply held your original ETH and USDC instead of providing liquidity, your portfolio might have been worth $15,500.
The difference is the economic effect commonly described as impermanent loss, before considering the fees and rewards you earned.
So you shouldn't look only at:
"How much money is inside my LP position?"
You should compare it against:
"What would I have if I had simply held the same assets?"
🔹 Other Risks You Need to Understand
Liquidity pools aren't simply a way to earn passive income.
There are several risks.
1️⃣ Impermanent Loss
Changes in the relative prices of the assets can reduce your performance compared with holding the assets separately.
2️⃣ Smart Contract Risk
Your funds interact with code.
If the underlying smart contract has a vulnerability, exploit, or design flaw, funds can potentially be lost.
3️⃣ Token Risk
Providing liquidity for a highly volatile or low-quality token can expose you to significant losses.
A token can lose most or all of its value.
4️⃣ Stablecoin Risk
Even stablecoins aren't completely risk-free.
They can experience depegging, liquidity issues, or other risks.
5️⃣ Low Liquidity
Small pools can experience significant price impact.
This can also make exiting a position more difficult or costly.
6️⃣ Protocol Risk
A protocol may have economic, governance, oracle, or implementation risks beyond the basic AMM mechanism.
7️⃣ Incentive Risk
Some pools offer additional token rewards.
But those rewards can decrease in value or disappear entirely.
A high advertised APY doesn't automatically mean high profit.
🔹 What Is APY in Liquidity Pools?
You may see something like:
APY: 25%
or
APR: 80%
Don't immediately interpret this as guaranteed return.
These numbers can depend on:
Trading volume
Pool liquidity
Token prices
Fee distribution
Incentive emissions
Reward-token price
Compounding
Protocol changes
An APY displayed today can be very different tomorrow.
🔹 Why Do Traders Need Liquidity?
Imagine you want to swap:
$100,000 USDC → ETH
You need someone or something willing to sell you that ETH.
In a DEX using an AMM, the liquidity pool provides the assets needed for the swap.
Without sufficient liquidity:
Large trade → High price impact → Worse execution
With deeper liquidity:
Large trade → Lower price impact → Better execution
This is why liquidity is one of the fundamental building blocks of DeFi.
🔹 The Liquidity Provider's Trade-Off
Providing liquidity is essentially a trade-off.
You are giving the market access to your capital.
In return, you may receive:
💰 Trading fees
🎁 Incentive rewards
📈 Potential additional yield
But you're also accepting:
⚠️ Impermanent loss
⚠️ Smart-contract risk
⚠️ Token price risk
⚠️ Stablecoin/depeg risk
⚠️ Protocol risk
So the correct question isn't:
"What is the APY?"
A better question is:
"Is the expected fee/reward income sufficient to compensate me for the risks I'm taking?"
🔹 Liquidity Pools in One Simple Picture
Think of a liquidity pool like a shared inventory warehouse.
LPs put assets into the warehouse.
Traders come and exchange assets from that inventory.
The warehouse charges a fee for facilitating those trades.
LPs can receive a portion of the economics generated by the activity.
But the inventory composition changes as people trade.
And the value of what you eventually withdraw may be different from what you originally deposited.
That's the core idea behind liquidity pools.
🧠 The Takeaway
A liquidity pool allows users to deposit crypto assets into a smart contract so traders can swap those assets through a decentralized exchange.
LPs provide liquidity → Traders use liquidity → Trades generate fees → LPs may receive a share of those fees.
But liquidity providing isn't "free money."
The biggest concepts to understand are:
AMMs + Trading Fees + Price Impact + Impermanent Loss + Smart Contract Risk + Token Risk
If you understand those six concepts, you'll have a much stronger foundation for understanding DeFi liquidity pools.
Always do your own research (DYOR), understand the specific protocol and pool mechanics, and never deposit money you cannot afford to lose.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, trading, tax, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency and DeFi involve substantial risks, including the possible loss of some or all of your funds. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a qualified professional before making financial decisions.
MESU Aug 27: 7707 Pullback Before a 7741 Breakout?MESU pushed higher overnight and is currently trading around 7,715.
The first downside liquidity level I’m watching is around 7,707. Price may pull back into that area before attempting another move higher.
For the broader bullish structure, 7,690 is the key support level. A confirmed 4-hour close below 7,690 would weaken the bullish scenario and could open the door toward 7,655.
On the upside, the overnight high around 7,741 remains the main liquidity target. A confirmed 4-hour close above that level could support continuation toward approximately 7,765.
Key levels
7,707 — first downside liquidity
7,690 — key bullish support
7,655 — deeper downside target
7,741 — upside liquidity / breakout level
7,765 — next upside target
Bullish scenario: Hold the 7,707–7,690 area → reclaim 7,741 → target 7,765.
Bearish scenario: Lose 7,707 → watch 7,690. A confirmed higher-time-frame break below 7,690 could open 7,655.
For now, I’m waiting for price to reach one of these levels and give confirmation before taking a directional setup.
Not financial advice. No confirmation, no trade. CME_MINI:MESU2026
GOLD BUY/LONG SETUP | A Key Entry Zone Is Here (15M)The price has reached a support order block and has swept the liquidity from the two lows on the left.
We also have liquidity above the chart that could act like a magnet and attract the price.
Based on the current conditions, we can look for a buy/long setup.
Only enter within the entry zone.
The risk-to-reward ratio is 1:2, and the targets are marked on the chart.
If the stop loss is hit, we will exit the position.
⚠️ Please note: Before moving toward the critical levels, the price must return to the entry zone for the setup to remain valid. If the setup is invalidated while approaching the entry, we will let you know.
$TRX: Whales hold long. Situation breakdownBYBIT:TRXUSDT.P
Price trades above monthly support level 📊M-Levels 0.3390$ - 0.3430$.
🧩IMA data shows interest of 🐋large players in continued asset rise.
Interesting entry on pullback to daily trading level 📊D-Levels.
🟡 Trade plan:
🟢 Entry 1: 0.3422$
🟢 Entry 2: 0.3387$
🛑 Stop: 0.3337$ behind stops concentration level.
Entry in position with reduced volume recommended due to market rise on pump. Support on volumes practically absent.
Analysis from me — execution from you 🚀
🧩IMA — Integrated Market Analysis
📊M-Levels — Institutional Interest Levels
⚠️ Platform restrictions do not allow publishing closed indicators. Displaying only result of algorithm work 📊Levels.
$DOGE: Awaiting the ResolutionBYBIT:DOGEUSDT.P
As I noted in the previous analysis, the second scenario is unfolding. Price has been holding at 📊M-Levels support for over a month. Retail is fully long and waiting for a rally, while 🧩IMA shows: 🐋WhaleMAX keep pushing the market down for a better entry price, harvesting liquidity from the crowd. The slight short bias of 🐋large players indicates not a bearish sentiment, but a desire to build a position at this level. In this situation, a sharp squeeze before a market reversal is not ruled out.
The plan remains the same: enter on the breakout from the level.
🟢 Entry 1: $0.07513 (after breakout)
🟢 Entry 2: $0.07365 (retest)
🔴 Stop: $0.06474
The second option is to wait until 🧩IMA registers an increase in 🐋large players' long positions.
Analysis from me — execution from you 🚀
Analysis powered by IMA (Integrated Market Analysis)
📊M-Levels — Institutional Interest Levels | 🐋WhaleMAX — large players' positions
⚠️ Platform restrictions limit the publication of closed indicators. I display only the output of the 📊Levels algorithm.
NAS100
The asset has reached our 1.414 area of interest.
I am now looking for local consolidation and confirmation for a potential move higher. During the decline, a key imbalance was formed, which in my view still requires external expansion.
As long as the current zone holds, the main scenario is a move higher toward the upper 1.414 area.
Scenario: POI → Consolidation → Reversal → External Expansion.
XAUUSD · 15M
The asset has shown a strong expansion higher with almost no proper rebalance into the 0.5 zone.
A key imbalance has formed at the current levels, aligning with the external expansion area and acting as a potential price magnet. A Daily FVG is also located above.
I expect a sweep of the upper liquidity and price delivery into this area. After a reaction, the main scenario is a move lower followed by a rebalance toward the 1.414–1.618 external POI.
Scenario: Liquidity Sweep → Daily FVG → Reversal → Rebalance → External POI.
USDCAD · 1H — Bullish Expansion ScenarioDuring the previous bearish move, price did not receive a full rebalance into the 0.5 Fibonacci area within this dealing range.
Price is currently reacting from a local zone, and I allow for a small pullback / additional rebalance before further upside continuation.
The key factor is the unmitigated imbalance, which creates conditions for continued external expansion.
Main targets:
1.0 → 1.414
If momentum remains strong, the next delivery area may extend toward 1.618.
As long as the marked invalidation area holds, the bullish scenario remains valid.
$BTC - Market Update (8/26)Good Morning! Added the pink path, same levels.
We're almost done completing this range, gonna be interesting to see how it resolves.
We got our double distribution sweeping the highs into 81k. We're currently rejecting at 79.2k, but if we hold 78k coming into NY, I'd expect a retest of 80k–80.5k.
Wny rejection there and that's another short opportunity back to the 77–76k base.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Key Level
WTI Crude Oil tested a major key level.
A bullish engulfing candle formation on an hourly time frame confirms
a strong buying activity around that structure.
I expect a pullback to 81.47 level.
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$SOL: What's next. Short or long?BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P
Solana trades above the new support level 📊M-Levels 91$ - 95$.
The 4h chart shows the market swept the shorts.
But in my opinion, this is a trap.
🧩IMA analysis shows: 🐋large players continue to hold long positions.
Another factor for the continued move is buying dips on the spot market.
Considering possible high volatility, it is better to look for entry in the range of monthly support and liquidity zone.
🟡 Trade plan:
🟢 Entry 1: around 94$
🟢 Entry 2: around 90$
🛑 Stop: around 86$ (conservative).
If you liked the analysis - support with a rocket 🚀.
🧩IMA — Integrated Market Analysis
📊M-Levels — Institutional Interest Levels
⚠️ Platform restrictions do not allow publishing closed indicators. Displaying only the result of the algorithm work 📊Levels.
$ICP: Waiting for resistance breakout🚀 BYBIT:ICPUSDT.P
Price is trading in the monthly resistance range 📊M-Levels $2260–$2400, and right now this zone is the main obstacle to further upside.
🧩IMA points to strong interest from 🐋large players building positions on every dip. The weekly analysis also shows positions have been building for the second week in a row.
Even with real capital interest showing, entering at current levels is premature because 📊M-Levels are close and there is risk of a further pullback to the daily consolidation level at $2135.
🟡 Action plan:
🟢 1. Entry in the $2260–$2400 range only on a breakout of monthly resistance.
🟢 2. Entry at the daily consolidation level $2135 only if 🐋large players confirm interest.
📌 Strategy logic: assets don’t run where retail is sitting, they run where capital is flowing in.
Analysis from me — execution from you 🚀
Analysis powered by 🧩IMA (Integrated Market Analysis)
📊M-Levels — Institutional Interest Levels
⚠️ Platform restrictions limit the publication of closed indicators. I display only the output of the 📊Levels algorithm.
1.618 impulse. We’ll try applying Fibo circles to analyze the entire crypto market.
So, we have a fairly clear previous bottom in November 2022 and
a peak in September 2025.
Let’s overlay them…
There we go!
The impulse move that has just taken place bounced precisely off the 1.618 line.
This is a fairly clear sign that the structure is still intact. Therefore, starting from
the second green arrow, we can try to determine the ranges within which the market
may develop.
What we definitely don’t know is the angles of attack at individual points in time.
However, it would be correct to mark where, by date, the 1.618 level ends and
the 2.618 territory begins, because level transitions will most likely involve pauses,
pullbacks, and sideways movements.
So, with this setup, the 1.618 boundary falls at the end of January 2028.
I propose the following box. This is my original solution.
The upper side of the box clearly continues the 2022–2025 trend.
And its lower corner corresponds to the important $1.06T range,
where we observed significant accumulation in 2023, followed by growth.
So, here is the range of possible events for the next 1.5 years: $1.06T–$12.72T .
This does not mean that $12.72T will necessarily be reached.
It means that it is definitely impossible to go above this peak, because that would
essentially be a retest of the trend from below, and there would be a rejection there.
And one final observation: on the Rainbow 9 Seasons indicator , two timeframes have turned blue, indicating that the market has reached a state of strong oversold conditions. As soon as they turn green, the rally will have no trouble proving itself.






















