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CTZ BTC Market Cycles
**CTZ BTC Market Cycles**
This indicator maps Bitcoin's major market cycle turning points using real historical dates — not fixed bar counts — so it works accurately on any timeframe (daily, weekly, monthly).
**What it draws:**
🔵 **Bottom → Bottom** (Cyan) — The full bear-to-bear cycle floor. Historical durations: 1,153d → 1,421d → 1,432d
🟠 **Top → Top** (Orange) — The full bull-to-bull cycle ceiling. Historical durations: 1,478d → 1,424d → 1,426d
🟢 **Bottom → Top** (Green) — The bull run phase from each cycle low to the next peak
🩷 **Top → Bottom** (Pink) — The bear market phase from each cycle peak to the next low
**Known pivots:**
- Bottoms: Nov 2011 → Jan 2015 → Dec 2018 → Nov 2022
- Tops: Nov 2013 → Dec 2017 → Nov 2021 → Oct 2025
**Projected (based on historical averages):**
- Next bottom: ~Oct 2026 (~$34k, based on diminishing drawdown pattern: 84% → 77% → ~69%)
- Next top: ~Sep 2029 (+1,430d from Oct 2025 top)
**Bear zone shading** highlights the current drawdown window from the Oct 2025 top to the projected Oct 2026 bottom.
**Status bar** on the current bar shows days since last bottom, days since last top, and days to projected next bottom.
All pivots, colours, arc height and projections are fully customisable in settings.
*Published by CTZ — 25 years trading experience. Part of the CTZ indicator suite.*
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開源腳本
秉持TradingView一貫精神，這個腳本的創作者將其設為開源，以便交易者檢視並驗證其功能。向作者致敬！您可以免費使用此腳本，但請注意，重新發佈代碼需遵守我們的社群規範。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供，也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。