OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
已更新 Aquile Reali Macro Pulse
Aquile Reali Macro Panel — a compact macro dashboard for gold traders.
WHAT IT SHOWS
Gold, Dollar Index (DXY), WTI crude oil, US 10Y and 2Y yields, the 10Y-2Y curve and TIP (real-yield proxy), on four horizons side by side: a short window (default last 15 minutes), a medium window (default 1 hour), since yesterday's close and since last week's close. The chart timeframe does not matter: the windows are set in the inputs.
YIELD STATE
Instead of a fixed threshold that on intraday charts almost never fires, each move is compared with its normal size (adaptive threshold, "x normal move"). States: calm / moving / STRONG / REVERSAL, always with the direction and its meaning for gold (yields up = against gold, yields down = supportive).
OIL
Oil is read through inflation expectations: oil up = inflation expectations up. The panel tells you whether the 10Y is confirming the move (then it matters for gold) or not.
GOLD COMPASS
LONG / SHORT / FLAT on four horizons, based on the divergence between DXY and TIP: DXY down + TIP up = LONG, DXY up + TIP down = SHORT, same direction = mixed signal = FLAT. Optional 10Y confirmation. "ALL ALIGNED" appears when the short, medium and daily compass agree.
TIP only trades during US cash hours: outside them the short and medium compass use the 10Y as a substitute (can be disabled) and the panel shows when TIP reopens.
VERSIONS
Minimal (verdicts only), Essential (gold, dollar, 10Y, TIP + verdicts), Full (everything, optional natural gas and curve).
ALERTS
Strong yield moves and reversals, strong oil moves, compass changes per horizon. Create one alert with the condition "Any alert() function call". Optional alerts on open candle, useful on higher-timeframe charts.
English / Italiano: select the language in the first input.
This is a context tool, not a trading signal on its own.
🦅 Royal Eagles — Born to fly, born to dare · Be Stable. Be Strong.
WHAT IT SHOWS
Gold, Dollar Index (DXY), WTI crude oil, US 10Y and 2Y yields, the 10Y-2Y curve and TIP (real-yield proxy), on four horizons side by side: a short window (default last 15 minutes), a medium window (default 1 hour), since yesterday's close and since last week's close. The chart timeframe does not matter: the windows are set in the inputs.
YIELD STATE
Instead of a fixed threshold that on intraday charts almost never fires, each move is compared with its normal size (adaptive threshold, "x normal move"). States: calm / moving / STRONG / REVERSAL, always with the direction and its meaning for gold (yields up = against gold, yields down = supportive).
OIL
Oil is read through inflation expectations: oil up = inflation expectations up. The panel tells you whether the 10Y is confirming the move (then it matters for gold) or not.
GOLD COMPASS
LONG / SHORT / FLAT on four horizons, based on the divergence between DXY and TIP: DXY down + TIP up = LONG, DXY up + TIP down = SHORT, same direction = mixed signal = FLAT. Optional 10Y confirmation. "ALL ALIGNED" appears when the short, medium and daily compass agree.
TIP only trades during US cash hours: outside them the short and medium compass use the 10Y as a substitute (can be disabled) and the panel shows when TIP reopens.
VERSIONS
Minimal (verdicts only), Essential (gold, dollar, 10Y, TIP + verdicts), Full (everything, optional natural gas and curve).
ALERTS
Strong yield moves and reversals, strong oil moves, compass changes per horizon. Create one alert with the condition "Any alert() function call". Optional alerts on open candle, useful on higher-timeframe charts.
English / Italiano: select the language in the first input.
This is a context tool, not a trading signal on its own.
🦅 Royal Eagles — Born to fly, born to dare · Be Stable. Be Strong.
發行說明
Ar macro pulse update tradingview ·
1) RELEASE NOTES (box "Release notes" when you click "Update")
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v2 — Fed probabilities + cleaner, more compact panel
NEW — FED ROWS (FedWatch-style probabilities)
• Probabilities for the next two FOMC meetings, calculated inside the script from 30-day Fed Funds futures (CBOT ZQ), the same market data used by FedWatch-style tools. No manual input: contracts and the next meeting are selected automatically.
• Next meeting: outcome probabilities (e.g. "hold 56% · HIKE 44%") plus the change since yesterday.
• Second meeting: cumulative outcome versus today's rate, plus the average expected move in bp.
• Colour = what the market is pricing: RED = hikes (headwind for gold), GREEN = cuts (tailwind for gold). Stronger colour = higher probability.
• Change cell: green = market more dovish than yesterday, red = more hawkish; solid colour when the move exceeds the alarm threshold (default 15 points).
• New alert: "Fed probability jump".
COMPACT LAYOUT
• Gold Compass now on ONE row, each horizon under its own column (15m · 1h · day · week). Hover a cell to see the reason for FLAT and the TIP note. "*" = 10Y used instead of TIP (outside NYSE hours).
• Yields and oil rows split on two lines: the table is much narrower.
PANEL THEME
• Solid background, independent of the chart: candles and volume no longer show through.
• Panel theme: Dark (default), Light or Custom. Both read well on dark and white charts.
Note: values may differ by a few points from CME FedWatch (day-count and reference-rate conventions). Futures data may be delayed without a CBOT data subscription. The FOMC calendar is built into the script and will be updated yearly.
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2) FULL DESCRIPTION (replaces the current one)
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Aquile Reali Macro Pulse — a compact macro dashboard for gold traders.
WHAT IT SHOWS
Gold, Dollar Index (DXY), WTI crude oil, US 10Y and 2Y yields, the 10Y-2Y curve and TIP (real-yield proxy), on four horizons side by side: a short window (default last 15 minutes), a medium window (default 1 hour), since yesterday's close and since last week's close. The chart timeframe does not matter: the windows are set in the inputs.
YIELD STATE
Instead of a fixed threshold that on intraday charts almost never fires, each move is compared with its normal size (adaptive threshold, "x normal move"). States: calm / moving / STRONG / REVERSAL, always with the direction and its meaning for gold (yields up = against gold, yields down = supportive).
OIL
Oil is read through inflation expectations: oil up = inflation expectations up. The panel tells you whether the 10Y is confirming the move (then it matters for gold) or not.
FED
What the rates market is pricing for the next two FOMC meetings, derived from 30-day Fed Funds futures (CBOT ZQ), with the same method used by FedWatch-style tools. Contracts and meeting dates are handled automatically.
• First row: outcome probabilities for the next meeting (e.g. "hold 56% · HIKE 44%") and how they changed since yesterday.
• Second row: cumulative outcome by the following meeting versus today's rate, and the average expected move in bp.
Red = hikes priced (headwind for gold), green = cuts priced (tailwind for gold); the stronger the colour, the higher the probability. A sudden shift in expectations after CPI, NFP or PCE is often the fuel behind the big moves in the dollar, yields and gold.
Values may differ by a few points from CME FedWatch (day-count and reference-rate conventions).
GOLD COMPASS
LONG / SHORT / FLAT on four horizons, shown on one row with each horizon under its own column. Based on the divergence between DXY and TIP: DXY down + TIP up = LONG, DXY up + TIP down = SHORT, same direction = mixed signal = FLAT. Optional 10Y confirmation. "ALIGNED" appears when the short, medium and daily compass agree. Hover a cell to see why it is FLAT.
TIP only trades during US cash hours: outside them the short and medium compass use the 10Y as a substitute (marked with "*", can be disabled) and the panel shows when TIP reopens.
VERSIONS AND LOOK
Minimal (verdicts only), Essential (gold, dollar, 10Y, TIP + verdicts), Full (everything, optional natural gas and curve). The Fed rows are shown in every version and can be switched off.
The panel has its own solid background (Dark, Light or Custom), readable on both dark and white charts.
ALERTS
Strong yield moves and reversals, strong oil moves, Fed probability jumps, compass changes per horizon. Create one alert with the condition "Any alert() function call". Optional alerts on open candle, useful on higher-timeframe charts.
English / Italiano: select the language in the first input.
This is a context tool, not a trading signal on its own. Futures data may be delayed without the relevant exchange data subscription.
🦅 Aquile Reali — Born to fly, born to dare · Be Stable. Be Strong.
開源腳本
秉持TradingView一貫精神，這個腳本的創作者將其設為開源，以便交易者檢視並驗證其功能。向作者致敬！您可以免費使用此腳本，但請注意，重新發佈代碼需遵守我們的社群規範。
AQUILE REALI – Educational tools by giua64
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這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供，也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。
開源腳本
秉持TradingView一貫精神，這個腳本的創作者將其設為開源，以便交易者檢視並驗證其功能。向作者致敬！您可以免費使用此腳本，但請注意，重新發佈代碼需遵守我們的社群規範。
AQUILE REALI – Educational tools by giua64
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供，也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。