DCA vs Market Timing vs ATH Buying - Backtesting

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Compare investment timing strategies with equal capital to see which actually performs best.

This indicator backtests whether buying at all-time highs, waiting for pullbacks, or regular DCA builds more wealth over time.

Each strategy receives the same monthly budget (default $100). The difference is when they invest:
  • ATH Strategy: Invests when price hits new highs (1-year lookback default)
  • Pullback Strategies: Wait for 5%, 10%, 15%, or 20% corrections before investing
  • Regular DCA: Invests monthly regardless of price

Key Metrics:
  • Budget: Total capital allocated (equal for all)
  • Value: Current portfolio value (stocks + cash)
  • Return%: Overall performance
  • Deployed%: How much capital is actually invested vs sitting in cash earning 0%
  • Trades: Number of investments made

The Deployed% column reveals the hidden cost of waiting. Pullback strategies often underperform because they keep too much cash idle, missing the gains that occur while waiting for corrections.

Use Cases:
  • Validate whether waiting for corrections is worth the opportunity cost
  • Test different pullback thresholds on historical data
  • Compare ATH investing vs DCA vs market timing
  • Analyze performance across different time periods
  • Results typically show that time in the market beats timing the market—this tool lets you prove it with data.

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