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MSTR BTC mNAV Model (Live mNAV + Prior-Day Baseline)

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MSTR BTC mNAV Model — Live mNAV + Prior-Day Baseline Implied Price
This indicator models MicroStrategy's fair value in real time by tracking its Bitcoin NAV multiple (mNAV) — the ratio of enterprise value to the dollar value of MSTR's BTC holdings.
Three plots:

Implied Price (orange) — applies yesterday's closing gross EV mNAV to the live BTC price and backs out what MSTR should be trading at if the premium holds constant intraday
Actual MSTR Price (blue) — live price for direct visual comparison
BTC NAV per Diluted Share (green) — the raw per-share Bitcoin value, fully diluted

Status bar readouts (all live):

BTC NAV per diluted share
Simple mNAV (market cap / BTC NAV)
Gross EV mNAV (market cap + debt + preferred / BTC NAV)
Net EV mNAV (gross EV minus cash / BTC NAV)
Gross and net EV premiums (mNAV − 1)

All enterprise value and market cap calculations use basic shares. Diluted shares are used only for the NAV-per-share display line. The prior-day baseline is frozen at the previous session's close and updates at each new day open — giving you a stable intraday reference without noise from the current session's multiple expansion or compression.
Inputs are fully adjustable: BTC holdings, total debt + preferreds, cash on hand, basic shares, and fully diluted shares.

Informational purposes only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

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