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BTC Power Law Bands

BTC Power Law Bands
This indicator applies a Power Law model to Bitcoin’s price, based on the log-log relationship between time and market value.
The core idea is that Bitcoin does not grow randomly, but instead follows a long-term statistical corridor where price oscillates around a structural trend.
- The central line represents the estimated fair value over time
- Upper bands highlight potential overvaluation and euphoria zones
- Lower bands highlight undervaluation and asymmetric opportunity zones
The model uses logarithmic regression (log10) to estimate Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory since its inception.
Indicator zones:
- Deep Value Zone (blue): historically associated with macro bottoms
- Value Zone (green): fair value region
- Hot Zone (orange): overheated market conditions
- Mania Zone (red): extreme euphoria
Important:
This indicator is designed for long-term macro analysis and should not be used for short-term trading decisions. It provides a probabilistic framework, not a guarantee of future price behavior.
Use it as a structural guide to understand where Bitcoin sits within its long-term cycle.
This indicator applies a Power Law model to Bitcoin’s price, based on the log-log relationship between time and market value.
The core idea is that Bitcoin does not grow randomly, but instead follows a long-term statistical corridor where price oscillates around a structural trend.
- The central line represents the estimated fair value over time
- Upper bands highlight potential overvaluation and euphoria zones
- Lower bands highlight undervaluation and asymmetric opportunity zones
The model uses logarithmic regression (log10) to estimate Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory since its inception.
Indicator zones:
- Deep Value Zone (blue): historically associated with macro bottoms
- Value Zone (green): fair value region
- Hot Zone (orange): overheated market conditions
- Mania Zone (red): extreme euphoria
Important:
This indicator is designed for long-term macro analysis and should not be used for short-term trading decisions. It provides a probabilistic framework, not a guarantee of future price behavior.
Use it as a structural guide to understand where Bitcoin sits within its long-term cycle.
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開源腳本
秉持TradingView一貫精神,這個腳本的創作者將其設為開源,以便交易者檢視並驗證其功能。向作者致敬!您可以免費使用此腳本,但請注意,重新發佈代碼需遵守我們的社群規範。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供,也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。